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randallburns
Predictions
2813
Comments
910
Member Since
September 2019
links
Overview
Track Record
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Questions
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Questions by randallburns
17 comments
51 forecasters
Will Russian territory be reduced by at least 1% before 2040?
33%
chance
15 comments
21 forecasters
When will the US life expectancy at birth exceed 78.8?
community
16 Dec 2029
result
01 Jul 2024 UTC
16 comments
26 forecasters
What will be the maximum percent of Gallup Coronavirus Pandemic polls respondents who say the pandemic is getting a lot worse in 2023 and 2024?
community
3.53
result
3
13 comments
17 forecasters
What will be the peak Covid-19 Hospitalization rate (new admissions per week per million) in the US in these years?
13 comments
35 forecasters
What Portion of Official Currency Reserve (COFER) will be Chinese Yuan in Q4 of 2031 according to the IMF?
Current estimate
7.75%
8 comments
22 forecasters
What Portion of Official Currency Reserve (COFER) will be US dollars in Q4 of 2031 according to the IMF?
Latest estimate
51.2%
This question is closed for forecasting.
5 comments
21 forecasters
What will be the US MSRP of lowest priced Tesla in 2030?
Current estimate
27.6k $
21 comments
50 forecasters
BTC outperforms VSS from 2021-03-01 until 2026?
result
Yes
3 comments
71 forecasters
Will Starlink conduct an IPO before 2030?
72.5%
chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
18 comments
16 forecasters
How many non-Tesla vehicles will be licensed with Tesla software by 2030?
Current estimate
65.7k vehicles
39 comments
42 forecasters
Will the LVCC loop overwhelmingly use autonomous vehicles before 2023?
result
No
11 comments
21 forecasters
Will TBC complete two transit systems bigger than LVCC loop < 2030?
10%
chance
49 comments
84 forecasters
How many vehicles will Tesla report producing in 2025?
community
1.77M vehicles
result
1.654667M vehicles
36 comments
229 forecasters
[Short-fuse] Will Donald Trump cease to be President before the 2021/01/20 inauguration?
result
No
56 comments
60 forecasters
What will be Donald Trump's net worth in 2024?
community
4.1
result
4.3
4 comments
57 forecasters
Will Psilocybin be removed from Schedule I List before 2036?
75%
chance
21 comments
80 forecasters
If Starlink offers an IPO before 2030, will it set a record for the largest IPO?
20%
chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
17 comments
36 forecasters
What percent of ballots casting votes on Oregon's Psilocybin Program Initiative will vote in favor?
community
49.6
result
55.7
15 comments
42 forecasters
How many states will have legalized medical or recreational use of psilocybin before 2045?
Current estimate
22.8 states
29 comments
64 forecasters
What will be the popular vote difference in 2020 between the Republican candidate and the highest polling alternative candidate?
community
-5.67
result
-4.46
7 comments
96 forecasters
Will Republicans win both halves of Congress + Presidency in the US 2020 Election?
result
No
17 comments
36 forecasters
What will the size of Singapore's total foreign workforce be, for the first month after 2020-12-01 for which data is published?
community
1.34M
result
1.1971M
10 comments
48 forecasters
What proportion of House Democratic incumbents will be defeated in the 2020 election?
community
4.91
result
7.08
20 comments
45 forecasters
What proportion of Senate Democratic incumbents will be defeated in the 2020 election?
community
14.5
result
9
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