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- March 3, 2020
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Forecaster Stats
Level
∞ (Admin)
Predictions
271 predictions on 119 questions (54 resolved)
Comments
171 comments on 87 questions
Achievements
Tournaments and Projects
- Alt-Protein Tournament
- Keep Virginia Safe Tournament
- Trade Signal Tournament
- Nuclear Risk Tournament
- Virginia Lightning Round Tournament
- Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
- Metaculus Journal
- Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making
- Szilard Fortified Essay Contest
- Global Trends 2022
- AI Progress Essay Contest
- FluSight Challenge 2021/22
- China and Global Cooperation
- Ukraine Conflict
- White Hat Cyber
- Cultured Meat Tournament
- Forecasting AI Progress
- Mpox (Monkeypox)
- Autocrat Public Figures Series
- Biosecurity Tournament
- Improve the News
- Economist 2021
- Humanitarian Conflict & Economic Risk
- Climate Tipping Points
- Transparent Replications
- Forecasting Our World in Data
- FluSight Challenge 2022/23
- Red Lines in Ukraine
- 🔰 2022Q4 Beginner Tournament 🔰
- 🛰 The Sagan Space Tournament 🛰
- ACX 2023 Prediction Contest
- Economic Indicators
- 🤖 LLM Milestones 🤖
- 🔰 Beginner Tournament 🔰
- Keep Virginia Safe II
Causes and Organizations
Author Stats
Questions
Forecasts
7265 unique forecasts on authored questions
Top Categories
- Tournament -- 2022 Influenza (24)
- The Economist 2022 (8)
- Novel Coronavirus (Covid-19) (6)
- Geopolitics – Armed Conflict (4)
- Ukraine (4)
Popular Questions
- Will Russia invade any country other than Ukraine in 2022? (3165 forecasts)
- Will Russia recognize Transnistria as a sovereign country by December 31, 2022? (1811 forecasts)
- Will there be a military conflict between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) before 2023? (1523 forecasts)
- Will any NATO country invoke Article 5 by March 31, 2022? (1191 forecasts)
- Will Omicron be the most dominant sequenced strain of SARS-CoV-2 on December 31, 2022? (1139 forecasts)