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TomL
Predictions
326
Comments
232
Member Since
March 2020
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Questions by TomL
condition
Kerch Bridge knocked-out before 2024?
Resolved:
No
29 forecasters
if yes
if no
Crimea-Russia Land Bridge Severed by 2024?
1%
1%
Resolved:
Annulled
Crimea-Russia Land Bridge Severed by 2024?
1%
1%
Resolved:
No
3
no comments
0
condition
Human/Machine Intelligence Parity by 2040?
10 forecasters
if yes
if no
Date 1M-population country adopts UBI
May 2040
Date 1M-population country adopts UBI
Nov 2042
7
no comments
0
What will be the value of the US Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index in December 2022?
result
59.7
Updates on the Beginner Tournament Series
14
14 comments
14
🔰Q4 2022 Beginner Tournament 🔰
What will the price of ETH be on Dec 2, 2022 at noon EST?
result
1278.17
Will the Buffalo Bills win their NFL football game on Thanksgiving?
result
Yes
Americas Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022?
Haiti
result:
No
El Salvador
result:
No
Nicaragua
result:
No
and 3 others
Asia Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022?
Bangladesh
result:
No
Pakistan
result:
No
Papua New Guinea
result:
No
and 6 others
Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022?
Argentine Peso $
result:
Yes
Russian Ruble ₽
result:
Yes
Egyptian Pound £E
result:
Yes
and 14 others
Horizon Scan: How many people will be forcibly displaced in these countries in 2022?
Sudan
result:
4.476311M
Azerbaijan
result:
706.532k
Sri Lanka
result:
171.791k
and 4 others
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