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TomL
Predictions
326
Comments
232
Member Since
March 2020
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Questions by TomL
condition
Kerch Bridge knocked-out before 2024?
Resolved:
No
29
forecasters
if yes
if no
Crimea-Russia Land Bridge Severed by 2024?
1%
1%
Resolved:
Annulled
Crimea-Russia Land Bridge Severed by 2024?
1%
1%
Resolved:
No
3
0
comments
29
29
forecasters
condition
Human/Machine Intelligence Parity by 2040?
10
forecasters
if yes
if no
Date 1M-population country adopts UBI
May 2040
Date 1M-population country adopts UBI
Nov 2042
7
0
comments
10
10
forecasters
1
comment
21
forecasters
What will be the value of the US Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index in December 2022?
community
59.2
result
59.7
Updates on the Beginner Tournament Series
14
14
14
comments
🔰Q4 2022 Beginner Tournament 🔰
5
comments
54
forecasters
What will the price of ETH be on Dec 2, 2022 at noon EST?
community
1271
result
1278.17
5
comments
46
forecasters
Will the Buffalo Bills win their NFL football game on Thanksgiving?
result
Yes
22
comments
35
forecasters
Americas Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022?
Haiti
result:
No
El Salvador
result:
No
Nicaragua
result:
No
3 others
4
comments
23
forecasters
Asia Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022?
Bangladesh
result:
No
Pakistan
result:
No
Papua New Guinea
result:
No
6 others
32
comments
60
forecasters
Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022?
Argentine Peso $
result:
Yes
Russian Ruble ₽
result:
Yes
Egyptian Pound £E
result:
Yes
14 others
6
comments
24
forecasters
Horizon Scan: How many people will be forcibly displaced in these countries in 2022?
Sudan
result:
4.476311M
Azerbaijan
result:
706.532k
Sri Lanka
result:
171.791k
4 others
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