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NunoSempere
Predictions
292
Comments
161
Member Since
March 2020
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Questions by NunoSempere
Will a federal law imposing disbursement requirements on donor-advised fund accounts pass in the United States before 2031?
19%
chance
Will a federal law imposing disbursement requirements on donor-advised fund accounts pass in the United States before 2023?
result
No
Will Dominic Cummings return to a position of direct power and influence in UK before 2050?
This question is closed for forecasting. Latest Community prediction is displayed.
33%
chance
Will the Forethought Foundation have more than two full-time equivalent employees in 2025?
69.6%
chance
Will the Nonlinear Fund have more than eight full-time equivalent employees on January 1, 2026?
67%
chance
Will the Simon Institute for Longterm Governance have more than two full-time employees in 2025?
51%
chance
Will Charity Entrepreneurship launch a family planning charity as part of its 2021 incubation program?
result
No
Will Charity Entrepreneurship launch a charity fortifying feed for hens as part of its 2021 incubation program?
result
Yes
Conditional on a EU country ceasing to be a democracy by 2070, will the regime change be by "the left" or by "the right"?
This question is closed for forecasting. Latest Community prediction is displayed.
97.4
What percentage of predictions about "robotic judges" in 2070 will Terence Mauri get right?
7.73%
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