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NunoSempere
Predictions
293
Comments
161
Member Since
March 2020
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Questions by NunoSempere
0 comments
17 forecasters
Will a federal law imposing disbursement requirements on donor-advised fund accounts pass in the United States before 2031?
23.6%
chance
6 comments
40 forecasters
Will a federal law imposing disbursement requirements on donor-advised fund accounts pass in the United States before 2023?
result
No
7 comments
46 forecasters
Will Dominic Cummings return to a position of direct power and influence in UK before 2050?
33%
chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
15 comments
25 forecasters
Will the Forethought Foundation have more than two full-time equivalent employees in 2025?
result
Yes
8 comments
17 forecasters
Will the Nonlinear Fund have more than eight full-time equivalent employees on January 1, 2026?
result
No
5 comments
20 forecasters
Will the Simon Institute for Longterm Governance have more than two full-time employees in 2025?
result
Yes
11 comments
17 forecasters
Will Charity Entrepreneurship launch a family planning charity as part of its 2021 incubation program?
result
No
3 comments
18 forecasters
Will Charity Entrepreneurship launch a charity fortifying feed for hens as part of its 2021 incubation program?
result
Yes
28 comments
44 forecasters
Conditional on a EU country ceasing to be a democracy by 2070, will the regime change be by "the left" or by "the right"?
Latest estimate
97.4
This question is closed for forecasting.
5 comments
22 forecasters
What percentage of predictions about "robotic judges" in 2070 will Terence Mauri get right?
Current estimate
5.36%
3 comments
37 forecasters
How much money will ACE estimate to have influenced in 2021?
community
11.1M
result
10.831405M
10 comments
38 forecasters
How much money will be donated to ACE in 2021?
community
1.41M
result
1.501867M
11 comments
74 forecasters
Will ACE or any of its top or standout charities see a scandal related to racial inequity or discrimination in 2021?
result
No
11 comments
53 forecasters
Will ACE or any of its top or standout charities see a scandal related to sexual harassment or unwanted sexual advances in 2021?
result
No
23 comments
65 forecasters
Will a charity primarily operating in China become an ACE Top Charity in 2021 or 2022?
result
No
32 comments
47 forecasters
When will the first course on wild animal welfare be taught at a top university?
community
>31 Dec 2024
result
More than 31 Dec 2024
10 comments
35 forecasters
Will any of the nonprofits incubated by Charity Entrepreneurship become a future ACE top or standout charity by Jan 1, 2025?
result
Yes
11 comments
62 forecasters
Will any of the nonprofits incubated by Charity Entrepreneurship become a future ACE top or standout charity by Jan 1, 2022?
result
No
5 comments
76 forecasters
Will Restaurant Brands International cease sourcing pork in North America from suppliers that use gestation stalls by Jan 1, 2022?
result
No