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emilowk

Predictions1186

Comments353

Member SinceApril 2020

Overview Track Record Medals Comments Questions

Overview Track Record Medals Comments Questions

Questions by emilowk

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43 forecasters

What percentage "yes" will Elon Musk's Twitter poll have for reinstating Trump?

community

51.8

result

51.8

11 forecasters

What will Substack's Google Trends index be at end of 2022?

community

62.5

result

Ambiguous

29 forecasters

How many confirmed children will Elon Musk have by end of 2025?

community

13.9 children

result

14 children

67 forecasters

Will three of the listed countries ratify an agreement to form the East African Federation before 2030?

5.2%chance

70 forecasters

What will the total market cap of all cryptocurrencies be at the start of 2027? (In billion USD)

Current estimate

4259 billion $

309 forecasters

Who will Twitter unban before 2023?

Marjorie Taylor Greene

result: Yes

Laura Loomer

result: Yes

Donald Trump

result: Yes

Alex Jones

result: No

4 others

37 forecasters

What will the market capitalisation of Twitter be on January 1, 2025?

community

17.1B

result

Ambiguous

120 forecasters

Will any Member State leave the Eurozone before 2030?

3%chance

9 forecasters

When will a human cure for herpes simplex for oral region be available for purchase?

Current estimate

Oct 2032

20 forecasters

Will the Social Democrats hold a position in government after the next Danish general election?

resultYes

50 forecasters

What will be Russia's fertility rate (in births per woman) in 2027?

Current estimate

1.39 births/woman

143 forecasters

Will Éric Zemmour win the French presidential election in 2022?

resultNo

100 forecasters

Will Éric Zemmour be in the 2nd round of the 2022 French presidential election?

resultNo

54 forecasters

What will South Korea's fertility be in 2032?

Current estimate

0.729 births/woman

32 forecasters

When will Magnus Carlsen no longer be the top FIDE-ranked chess player?

Current estimate

09 Jan 2028

31 forecasters

When will Alireza Firouzja be the top FIDE-ranked chess player?

Current estimate

>Jan 2035