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InquilineKea

Predictions183

Comments33

Member SinceMay 2020

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63 forecasters

Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the 2024 presidential election in Taiwan?

resultYes

47 forecasters

Before July 1, 2027, will TSMC lose large numbers of wafers in a short period of time due to attack or sabotage against one or more of its Taiwan-based "Fab" facilities?

36 forecasters

Will George Church receive a Nobel prize, in any category, before the end of 2035?

9.1%chance

37 forecasters

Will there be fewer Kea parrots in 2030 than in 2020?

60.8%chance