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- May 18, 2020
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Forecaster Stats
Level
1 (Neophyte)
Predictions
1 predictions on 1 questions (1 resolved)
Comments
687 comments on 378 questions
Achievements
Tournaments and Projects
- Alt-Protein Tournament
- Keep Virginia Safe Tournament
- Trade Signal Tournament
- Nuclear Risk Tournament
- Virginia Lightning Round Tournament
- Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
- Metaculus Journal
- Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making
- Szilard Fortified Essay Contest
- Global Trends 2022
- AI Progress Essay Contest
- FluSight Challenge 2021/22
- China and Global Cooperation
- Ukraine Conflict
- White Hat Cyber
- Cultured Meat Tournament
- Forecasting AI Progress
- Mpox (Monkeypox)
- Autocrat Public Figures Series
- Biosecurity Tournament
- Improve the News
- Economist 2021
- Humanitarian Conflict & Economic Risk
- Climate Tipping Points
- Transparent Replications
- Forecasting Our World in Data
- FluSight Challenge 2022/23
- Red Lines in Ukraine
- 🔰Q4 2022 Beginner Tournament 🔰
- 🛰 The Sagan Space Tournament 🛰
- Economic Indicators
- 🤖 LLM Milestones 🤖
- 🔰Q1 2023 Beginner Tournament 🔰
- Keep Virginia Safe II
- 📰 Breaking News Tournament 📰
- 🔰Beginner Tournament 🔰
- Regulation of AI
- Public Perception of AI
- AI Demonstrations
- Business of AI
- AI Training and Compute
- AGI Outcomes
- AI in China
- AI Technical Benchmarks
- AI Safety
- 🏆 Q3 2023 Quarterly Cup 🏆
- Reducing Antibiotic Resistance In Aquaculture
- FRO-casting
- 🏆 Quarterly Cup 🏆
Causes and Organizations
Author Stats
Questions
Forecasts
20404 unique forecasts on authored questions
Top Categories
- Series - White Hat (43)
- Ukraine (33)
- Economy – US – Economic Indicators (31)
- Social issues – Crime and Violence (30)
- Economy – US (26)
Popular Questions
- Will Kyiv fall to Russian forces by April 2022? (6489 forecasts)
- Will Vladimir Putin be the president of the Russian Federation on February 1, 2023? (4317 forecasts)
- Will one half of currently threatened Ukrainian cities be under Russian military control by June 2022? (3442 forecasts)
- Will there be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2023? (3376 forecasts)
- Will Brent Crude Oil top $140/barrel before May 2022? (2900 forecasts)