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blednotik

Predictions2641

Comments469

Member SinceJune 2020

Overview Track Record Medals Comments Questions

Overview Track Record Medals Comments Questions

Questions by blednotik

Public Benefit Corporation

Metaculus is an online forecasting platform focusing on topics of global importance.

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38 forecasters

If Viktor Orbán leads a party in the 2026 Hungarian Election, will he become Prime Minister?

resultNo

62 forecasters

By what year will AI resolve binary questions on Metaculus?

53 forecasters

Who will be the first long-term President of Russia after Putin?

Mikhail Mishustin10.6%

Nikolai Patrushev5%

Dmitry Medvedev4%

Alexander Bortnikov2%

10 others

46 forecasters

When will peak oil production be reached worldwide?

Current estimate

Jan 2033