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Joker
Predictions
6108
Comments
2443
Member Since
October 2020
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Questions by Joker
8
comments
6
forecasters
Will the Arizona Coyotes rejoin the NHL by 2029?
23%
chance
8
comments
27
forecasters
Will the following NBA players make the Hall of Fame?
Jayson Tatum
99%
Victor Wembanyama
90%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
90%
9 others
10
comments
20
forecasters
[Short Fuse] Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl LVIII?
result
Yes
Forecast Factors: Drivers of Birth Rates in the Modern World
4
16
16
comments
Metaculus Journal Archives
Forecast Factors: Drivers of Interstate Wars in the Modern World
10
10
10
comments
Metaculus Journal Archives
2
comments
33
forecasters
Will state-based conflict between Iran and Saudi Arabia cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?
20%
chance
6
comments
22
forecasters
Will the following countries intervene military if there is a Second Korean War by 2050?
United States
93%
China
75%
Any EU country
64%
2 others
2
comments
22
forecasters
Will state-based conflict between Iran and Azerbaijan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?
21%
chance
12
comments
24
forecasters
Will the following cities receive an NBA expansion franchise before 2030?
Las Vegas
80%
Seattle
63%
Mexico City
13%
10 others
28
comments
61
forecasters
Will any Western countries go to war against each other before 2070?
18%
chance
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