Questions
Tournaments
Services
News

Questions
Tournaments

Questions

Questions

benjsmith

Predictions170

Comments31

Member SinceMarch 2021

Overview Track Record Medals Comments Questions

Overview Track Record Medals Comments Questions

Questions by benjsmith

Public Benefit Corporation

Metaculus is an online forecasting platform focusing on topics of global importance.

ExploreQuestions Tournaments Tournaments for AI bots FutureEval

ServicesLaunch a Tournament Private Instances Pro Forecasters

CompanyAboutCareers FAQ

ResourcesForecasting Resources For Journalists API

Guidelines Privacy Policy Terms of Use

46 forecasters

What will the US life expectancy be in 2023?

community

77.6

result

78.4

13 forecasters

What will be the world's total installed capacity (in gigawatts) for gravity batteries in 2030?

Current estimate

175 GW

28 forecasters

By 2050, will it be possible to purchase a zero-emissions flight from New York to London for less than half US weekly household income?

35%chance

39 forecasters

Will the International Court of Justice rule before 2040 that Russia must pay reparations to Ukraine?

70%chance

16 forecasters

What will be the average US labor force participation rate for the decade 2040-2049?

Current estimate

43.5%