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- April 23, 2021
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Forecaster Stats
Predictions
199 predictions on 66 questions (43 resolved)
Comments
24 comments on 19 questions
Tournaments and Projects
- Nuclear Risk Tournament
- Szilard Fortified Essay Contest
- Global Trends 2022
- China and Global Cooperation
- Ukraine Conflict
- White Hat Cyber
- Humanitarian Conflict & Economic Risk
- Climate Tipping Points
- Forecasting Our World in Data
- 🛰 The Sagan Space Tournament 🛰
- Reducing Antibiotic Resistance In Aquaculture
Organizations
Author Stats
Questions
Forecasts
128 unique forecasts on authored questions
Popular Questions
- Will GPT-4 exhibit a capability jump for Leetcode questions before 2024? (144 forecasts)
- Will ChatGPT have multiple tiers of capability before 2024? (95 forecasts)
- Will backpropagation take a back seat by 2030? (63 forecasts)
- What will the Metaculus Community Prediction bias on the next 20 AI benchmark questions be? (9 forecasts)