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- April 23, 2021
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Forecaster Stats
Level
∞ (Admin)
Predictions
184 predictions on 66 questions (37 resolved)
Comments
19 comments on 17 questions
Achievements
Tournaments and Projects
- Alt-Protein Tournament
- Keep Virginia Safe Tournament
- Trade Signal Tournament
- Nuclear Risk Tournament
- Virginia Lightning Round Tournament
- Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
- Metaculus Journal
- Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making
- Szilard Fortified Essay Contest
- Global Trends 2022
- AI Progress Essay Contest
- FluSight Challenge 2021/22
- China and Global Cooperation
- Ukraine Conflict
- White Hat Cyber
- Cultured Meat Tournament
- Forecasting AI Progress
- Monkeypox (mpox)
- Autocrat Public Figures Series
- Biosecurity Tournament
- Improve the News
- Economist 2021
- Humanitarian Conflict & Economic Risk
- Transparent Replications
- Forecasting Our World in Data
- FluSight Challenge 2022/23
- Red Lines in Ukraine
- 🔰 2022Q4 Beginner Tournament 🔰
- 🛰 The Sagan Space Tournament 🛰
- Economic Indicators
- 🤖 LLM Milestones 🤖
- 🔰 Beginner Tournament 🔰
Causes and Organizations
Author Stats
Questions
Forecasts
54 unique forecasts on authored questions
Top Categories
Popular Questions
- Will ChatGPT have multiple tiers of capability before 2024? (64 forecasts)
- Will backpropagation take a back seat by 2030? (16 forecasts)