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peter_m
Predictions
199
Comments
26
Member Since
April 2021
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Questions by peter_m
0
comments
9
forecasters
What will the Metaculus Community Prediction bias on the next 20 AI benchmark questions be?
Latest estimate
0.499
This question is closed for forecasting.
2
comments
47
forecasters
Will GPT-4 exhibit a capability jump for Leetcode questions before 2024?
result
No
2
comments
51
forecasters
Will ChatGPT have multiple tiers of capability before 2024?
result
Yes
5
comments
22
forecasters
Will backpropagation take a back seat by 2030?
32%
chance