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- June 18, 2021
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Forecaster Stats
Predictions
18997 predictions on 3081 questions (1925 resolved)
Comments
818 comments on 376 questions
Tournaments and Projects
- Alt-Protein Tournament
- Keep Virginia Safe Tournament
- Trade Signal Tournament
- Nuclear Risk Tournament
- Virginia Lightning Round Tournament
- Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making
- Global Trends 2022
- AI Progress Essay Contest
- FluSight Challenge 2021/22
- China and Global Cooperation
- Ukraine Conflict
- White Hat Cyber
- Biosecurity Tournament
- Humanitarian Conflict & Economic Risk
- Forecasting Our World in Data
- FluSight Challenge 2022/23
- 🔰Q4 2022 Beginner Tournament 🔰
- 🛰 The Sagan Space Tournament 🛰
- 🔰Q1 2023 Beginner Tournament 🔰
- Keep Virginia Safe II
- 📰 Breaking News Tournament 📰
- 🏆 Q3 2023 Quarterly Cup 🏆
Author Stats
Questions
Forecasts
971 unique forecasts on authored questions
Popular Questions
- When will OpenAI announce GPT-5? (1630 forecasts)
- Will any jurisdiction adopt futarchy by 2070? (120 forecasts)
- Will an anti-discrimination law be enacted to protect U.S. federal employees who have been genetically-edited or screened as embryos by 2100? (102 forecasts)
- What will the number of active volcanos be in 2022? (98 forecasts)
- Will the Billion Oyster Project restore 1 billion oysters to New York Harbor before 2035? (92 forecasts)