Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
a
/
文
Log in
Sign Up
H559
Predictions
20383
Comments
893
Member Since
June 2021
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Questions by H559
Will the International Maritime Organization permit more sulphur oxide pollution by 2030?
15%
chance
When will the following countries no longer be classified as being in a state of civil war?
00
When will OpenAI announce GPT-5?
Key Factor
Break out of other LLM (Gemini, Claude...)
23 Aug 2025
Key Factor
Break out of other LLM (Gemini, Claude...)
What will be the total number of fish that Fish Welfare Initiative (FWI) claims to have helped by 2024?
result
1.66M
AI Safety ∩ AI/DL Research
10
no comments
0
AI Progress Essay Contest
When will a person who was not screened or genetically modified as an embryo file a lawsuit against their parents for not doing so?
Mar 2057
What will be the minimum price (in 2021 USD) to clone a pet dog in 2030?
12.6k $
When will a person who was screened or genetically modified as an embryo file a lawsuit against their parent(s) for doing so?
Sep 2050
Will an anti-discrimination law be enacted to protect U.S. federal employees who have been genetically-edited or screened as embryos by 2100?
52%
chance
Will any jurisdiction adopt futarchy by 2070?
12%
chance
Load More