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H559
Predictions
20392
Comments
893
Member Since
June 2021
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Questions by H559
3
comments
23
forecasters
Will the International Maritime Organization permit more sulphur oxide pollution by 2030?
14%
chance
10
comments
14
forecasters
When will the following countries no longer be classified as being in a state of civil war?
00
139
comments
1.2k
forecasters
When will OpenAI announce GPT-5?
community
14 Aug 2025
result
07 Aug 2025 17:00
12
comments
16
forecasters
What will be the total number of fish that Fish Welfare Initiative (FWI) claims to have helped by 2024?
community
1.92M
result
1.66M
AI Safety ∩ AI/DL Research
10
0
comments
AI Progress Essay Contest
1
comment
17
forecasters
When will a person who was not screened or genetically modified as an embryo file a lawsuit against their parents for not doing so?
Current estimate
Mar 2057
10
comments
27
forecasters
What will be the minimum price (in 2021 USD) to clone a pet dog in 2030?
Current estimate
13k $
25
comments
15
forecasters
When will a person who was screened or genetically modified as an embryo file a lawsuit against their parent(s) for doing so?
Current estimate
Sep 2050
4
comments
31
forecasters
Will an anti-discrimination law be enacted to protect U.S. federal employees who have been genetically-edited or screened as embryos by 2100?
52.5%
chance
13
comments
35
forecasters
Will any jurisdiction adopt futarchy by 2070?
12%
chance
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