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MoEL
Predictions
56
Comments
11
Member Since
August 2021
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Questions by MoEL
4
comments
2
forecasters
What percentage of UN's 2025 Sudan Humanitarian Response Plan funding requirement will be met?
Current estimate
2
comments
3
forecasters
Will the SAF maintain control of both Khartoum city center and el-Obeid in North Kordofan through December 31, 2025?
75%
chance
0
comments
3
forecasters
Will any of Sudan's seven neighboring countries officially announce a complete border closure with Sudan citing conflict spillover or security concerns before July 1, 2026?
22%
chance
0
comments
2
forecasters
How many of Sudan's 18 state capitals will be under RSF control or active dispute on December 31, 2025?
Current estimate
7.18 State capitals
1
comment
2
forecasters
How many cumulative suspected cholera cases will be reported in the next WHO Sudan Health Cluster bulletin?
Latest estimate
227k Cases
This question is closed for forecasting.
0
comments
2
forecasters
How many internally displaced people will Sudan have on January 31, 2026?
Current estimate
10.8M People
5
comments
48
forecasters
Will SAF and RSF delegations both physically attend the same peace negotiation venue before December 31, 2025?
8%
chance
0
comments
17
forecasters
Will the overall population in Sudan facing high acute food insecurity (IPC Phase 3 or above) decrease to under 20 million by February 2025?
result
No
0
comments
5
forecasters
What percentage of the Sudan Humanitarian Response Plan 2024 budget will be funded by December 31, 2024?
community
62.1
result
63.9
0
comments
3
forecasters
Will the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) send a delegation to the current round of Geneva peace talks by August 24, 2024?
result
No
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