Predictions8725
Comments342
Member SinceJanuary 2022
When will the first AI model exceed 130 IQ for a test not in the training data set?
Current estimate
16 Feb 2026
What will be the "state of the art" for these quantum computing metrics in March, 2028?
Single-qubit relaxation time (T1) (μs)380M Coherence time (T2) (seconds)205 2-qubit gate infidelity2.01×10⁻⁴ What will be the record for log quantum volume over the next five years?
Will New Hampshire remain the freest state in the United States, according to the Cato Institute, from 2023 to 2033?
Will California have a lower GDP per capita than at most nine countries in the world in 2050?