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ok
Predictions
581
Comments
30
Member Since
February 2022
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Questions by ok
40
comments
26
forecasters
Which countries will invoke Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty, if it's invoked before 2040?
Poland
Ambiguous
Latvia
Ambiguous
Lithuania
Ambiguous
9 others
61
comments
56
forecasters
[Short Fuse] How much money will be awarded to Johnny Depp in his defamation suit against his ex-wife Amber Heard?
community
4M
result
8.35M
18
comments
44
forecasters
Will there be a bilateral ceasefire of at least 30 days in the Tigray war before 2023?
result
Yes
5
comments
21
forecasters
When will the next major bridge collapse occur in the USA?
community
09 Jan 2023
result
26 Oct 2022 14:40
1
comment
16
forecasters
When will the United States reopen its embassy in Kabul Afghanistan?
Current estimate
13 Sep 2028