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IY

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Member SinceFebruary 2022

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Which states will Pope Leo XIV visit in 2025?

Forecast revealed

Will Elon Musk or Donald Trump publically disparage each other before September 2025?

This question is closed for forecasting. Latest Community prediction is displayed.

Will Rachel Reeves remain UK Chancellor of the Exchequer until December, 2025?

What will be the change in the value of Berkshire Hathaway’s stock holdings for Q2 2025?

result-2.285917947B $

How many Patriot missile batteries will the U.S. formally agree to send to Ukraine before September 2025?

This question is closed for forecasting.
Latest Community predictions were:

Key Factor

Other countries primarily supplying Ukraine

Key Factor

Other countries primarily supplying Ukraine

Will the International Atomic Energy Agency verify Iran's weapon-grade uranium stockpile before September 2025?

This question is closed for forecasting. Latest Community prediction is displayed.

How many members of the Trump cabinet will remain in their positions continuously until January 20, 2029?

0.5 members this week

On July 17, 2025, what will be the revised change in the UK payroll jobs data for May 2025?

Key Factor

Slight recent tendency for revisions to be in the positive direction

result132.056k jobs

Key Factor

Slight recent tendency for revisions to be in the positive direction

Which year will OpenAI, DeepMind, or Anthropic first reach a valuation of at least $1 trillion?

Key Factor

Scalability of LLMs

Key Factor

Scalability of LLMs

Will OpenAI, DeepMind, or Anthropic have revenue of at least $100B in 2027?

Key Factor

Impact of in-house applications on revenue

Key Factor

Impact of in-house applications on revenue