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IY
Predictions
11523
Comments
1121
Member Since
February 2022
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Questions by IY
14
comments
82
forecasters
When will the restrictions on Revolut's UK banking license be removed?
Current estimate
26 Dec 2025
7
comments
127
forecasters
Will South Africa be removed from the Financial Action Task Force grey-list at the fall 2025 meeting?
91%
chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
14
comments
126
forecasters
Will Spirit Airlines emerge from Chapter 11 bankruptcy before 2026?
3%
chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
2
comments
52
forecasters
Which states will Pope Leo XIV visit in 2025?
Ukraine
7%
Peru
9%
Israel
10%
3 others
7
comments
108
forecasters
Will Elon Musk or Donald Trump publically disparage each other before September 2025?
result
No
0
comments
68
forecasters
Will Rachel Reeves remain UK Chancellor of the Exchequer until December, 2025?
95%
chance
6
comments
87
forecasters
What will be the change in the value of Berkshire Hathaway’s stock holdings for Q2 2025?
community
1.69B $
result
-2.286B $
21
comments
106
forecasters
How many Patriot missile batteries will the U.S. formally agree to send to Ukraine before September 2025?
0
result:
Yes
1
7.4%
2
2.9%
2 others
1%
1
comment
101
forecasters
Will the International Atomic Energy Agency verify Iran's weapon-grade uranium stockpile before September 2025?
result
No
10
comments
94
forecasters
How many members of the Trump cabinet will remain in their positions continuously until January 20, 2029?
Current estimate
5.81 members
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