Questions
Tournaments
Discover
Services

Questions
Tournaments
Discover

Questions
Tournaments

Questions

Questions

Prodicus

Predictions4199

Comments298

Member SinceFebruary 2022

Overview Track Record Medals Comments Questions

Overview Track Record Medals Comments Questions

Questions by Prodicus

Public Benefit Corporation

Metaculus is an online forecasting platform focusing on topics of global importance.

ExploreQuestions Tournaments Tournaments for AI bots FutureEval

ServicesLaunch a Tournament Private Instances Pro Forecasters

CompanyAboutCareers FAQ

ResourcesForecasting Resources For Journalists API

Guidelines Privacy Policy Terms of Use

47 forecasters

Will Joe Biden be unwillingly removed from any state ballot relevant to the 2024 Presidential election?

resultNo

11 forecasters

Will PEPFAR be extended before it expires on September 30th, 2023?

Full Extension (Five or More Years)

result: No

Short-Term Extension (Less Than Five Years)

result: No

52 forecasters

Will US Attorney General Merrick Garland be impeached before the 2024 federal election?

resultNo

31 forecasters

Will the Solomon Islands host a Chinese military base before 2032?

12%chance