pedroacosta

Predictions6

Member SinceMarch 2022

106 forecasters

50 forecasters

4 forecasters

Latest estimate

This question is closed for forecasting.

28 forecasters

68 forecasters

50 forecasters

70 forecasters

1result: Yes

4 or more0.1%

73 forecasters

116 forecasters

16 forecasters

48 forecasters

47 forecasters

0.3%result: Yes

32 forecasters

93 forecasters

No rate cut1%

25 bps rate cut48.1%

50 bps rate cutresult: Yes

More than 50 bps rate cut1%

35 forecasters

13 forecasters

101 forecasters

10 forecasters

67 forecasters

70 forecasters

12-20result: Yes

329 forecasters

24 forecasters

36 forecasters

17 forecasters

ANC and MKP, but not DAAnnulled

ANC and DA, but not MKPAnnulled

ANC, MKP, and DAAnnulled

OtherAnnulled

pedroacosta

Questions by pedroacosta

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Will the Russian government officially ban YouTube before January 1, 2025?

Will China officially announce export restrictions on any additional metals before January 1, 2025?

When, before January 1, 2029, will Uber announce a partnership with a second autonomous vehicle company (besides Waymo)?

Will the lithium carbonate (CNY/T) price fall below 70,000 before October 1, 2024?

Will the lithium carbonate (CNY/T) price fall below 70,000 before October 1, 2024?

What will China's youth unemployment rate be for August 2024?

How many major Atlantic hurricanes (Category 3 or higher) will occur in September 2024?

Will another Chinese military aircraft violate Japanese territorial airspace before October 1, 2024?

Will Taylor Swift publicly endorse Kamala Harris for president before October 1, 2024?

Will the decision to reallocate the bronze medal in the women's floor exercise at the 2024 Paris Olympics from the US to Romania be overturned before 2026?

Will the 2024 mpox outbreak exceed the 2022-2023 outbreak in confirmed cases?

What will the month over month percentage increase in core CPI inflation be in the US in August 2024?

Will the US unemployment rate exceed 5% before 2025?

By how much will the Fed cut rates at their September meeting?

Will Nicolás Maduro be inaugurated for a new term in January 2025?

Will Edmundo González, the opposition candidate in the 2024 Venezuelan presidential election, be charged with a crime by Venezuelan authorities before the end of 2024?

Will the opposition candidate, Edmundo González, concede the 2024 Venezuelan election to Maduro before September 2024?

Before 2027, will a federal court rule in favor of a challenge to EPA regulations, basing the decision on Chevron's overturning?

What will Keir Starmer's approval rating as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be on September 18, 2024?

How many total human cases of H5 will CDC report in the United States on October 1, 2024?

Will Israel invade Lebanon before October 1, 2024?

How many cases of severe invasive streptococcal infections (TSLS) will be reported in Japan on July 2?

What will be the official vote percentage for the Ensemble! coalition in the first round of the French legislative elections on June 30, 2024, as reported by July 3, 2024?

If a government is formed in South Africa before July 1, 2024, which parties will form the government?