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skmmcj
Predictions
23963
Comments
3402
Member Since
April 2022
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Questions by skmmcj
How many U.S. metro areas with more than 500k people will have non-routine military or federalized National Guard deployments before Nov 3, 2026?
Forecast revealed
in 5 days
Who will win the bet between Gary Marcus and Nathan Young on the progress of Waymo vs Tesla robotaxis?
Gary Marcus win
78.9%
Nathan Young win
16.9%
Other
4.2%
Will any new country attack Israel or Iran between June and December 2025?
Forecast revealed
in 2 days
How many US military personnel will be killed by Iran or its proxies before 2026?
0
59.4%
1-4
28.7%
5-24
9.9%
and 1 other
What will be the outcome of Disney's and Universal's copyright lawsuit against Midjourney?
Will Israel strike the Iranian military in Iran again, before September 2025?
57%
chance
Will Goma be under the control of the Democratic Republic of the Congo on August 25, 2025?
Key Factor
M23 rebel position supported by Rwanda
14%
chance
27% this week
Key Factor
M23 rebel position supported by Rwanda
Will Iran carry out an attack killing at least 3 people within Israel before August 2025?
Key Factor
Israel attacked Iran's capital
result
Yes
Key Factor
Israel attacked Iran's capital
Will Iran attack US sites in Iraq before August 2025?
20%
chance
20% this week
Will Israel carry out attacks within Iran resulting in at least 50 deaths before August 2025?
result
Yes
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