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CivilMarigold
Predictions
836
Comments
32
Member Since
May 2022
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Questions by CivilMarigold
1 comment
25 forecasters
When will conscripted Ukrainians be able to demobilize?
Current estimate
08 Jul 2027
9 comments
11 forecasters
When will Oleksii Reznikov cease to hold the office of the Minister of Defence of Ukraine?
community
08 Sep 2023 13:21
result
05 Sep 2023 12:00 UTC
16 comments
93 forecasters
Will Russian or Belarusian troops cross the land border between Belarus and either the Volyn or Rivne oblasts before 2023?
result
No
23 comments
90 forecasters
When will martial law be lifted in at least 3/4 of Ukraine?
Current estimate
>28 May 2027