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Wombat
Predictions
342
Comments
52
Member Since
May 2022
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Questions by Wombat
2
comments
24
forecasters
When will AI independently prescribe the majority of medication in the U.S.?
Current estimate
Oct 2050
4
comments
9
forecasters
How many Congresspeople will be endorsed by the Democratic Socialists of America on January 4th, 2031?
Current estimate
10.8 congresspeople
2
comments
17
forecasters
What will be the annual US unemployment rate in 2027?
Current estimate
5.99%
34
comments
301
forecasters
Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?
5%
chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
4
comments
25
forecasters
When will a publicly traded company have a market cap of at least $5 trillion USD?
Current estimate
02 Aug 2028
14
comments
82
forecasters
Will the President of the United States be a member of the Republican Party throughout the entirety of next two presidential terms (spanning 2025-2033)?
40%
chance
22
comments
83
forecasters
Will the US federal government pass legislation by 2040 to provide universal healthcare for American citizens?
30%
chance
22
comments
59
forecasters
Will "slaughterbots" kill at least 50 people outside a military conflict by 2035?
80%
chance