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Wombat

Predictions343

Comments52

Member SinceMay 2022

Overview Track Record Medals Comments Questions

Overview Track Record Medals Comments Questions

Questions by Wombat

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26 forecasters

When will AI independently prescribe the majority of medication in the U.S.?

Current estimate

Nov 2046

9 forecasters

How many Congresspeople will be endorsed by the Democratic Socialists of America on January 4th, 2031?

Current estimate

13.2 congresspeople

18 forecasters

What will be the annual US unemployment rate in 2027?

Current estimate

5.56%

301 forecasters

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

5%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

25 forecasters

When will a publicly traded company have a market cap of at least $5 trillion USD?

community

20 Oct 2028

result

29 Oct 2025 16:15 UTC

81 forecasters

Will the President of the United States be a member of the Republican Party throughout the entirety of next two presidential terms (spanning 2025-2033)?

40%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

86 forecasters

Will the US federal government pass legislation by 2040 to provide universal healthcare for American citizens?

30%chance

10% this week

64 forecasters

Will "slaughterbots" kill at least 50 people outside a military conflict by 2035?

79%chance