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zoehtwilliams
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0
Comments
1
Member Since
August 2022
Overview
Track Record
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Questions
Overview
Track Record
Medals
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Questions
Questions by zoehtwilliams
Will an AI system be reported to have successfully blackmailed someone for >$1000 by EOY 2028?
80%
chance
Will an AI system be reported to have independently gained unauthorized access to another computer system by 2033?
Annulled
Will the US be credibly reported to have gone to DEFCON levels 3, 2 or 1 before 2025?
Level 1
result:
No
Level 2
result:
No
Level 3
result:
No
What percent of voters will vote in favor of the Swiss 2022 Bio Suisse Animal Welfare referendum question?
result
37.14
What percent of voters will vote in favor of Sioux Falls' 2022 Slaughterhouse ballot question?
result
47.65
What will state-of-the-art top-1 accuracy on the APPS Benchmark introductory problems be from 2022 to 2025?