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Predictions205

Member SinceOctober 2022

18 forecasters

Current estimate

Significant conflict directly involving a G-20 country and involving 5,000+ casualties to that country..
GOP candidate wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.

21 forecasters

14 forecasters

Current estimate

48 forecasters

136 forecasters

158 forecasters

Putin's decreasing fear of consequences
Russia's capability to overwhelm NATO defenses
Russia focuses on Ukraine summer operations

60 forecasters

54 forecasters

115 forecasters

23 forecasters

84 forecasters

110 forecasters

>01 May 2023

More than 01 May 2023

111 forecasters

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Questions by MetaCalculator

When will a G-20 country field fully-autonomous, no human-in-the-loop lethal military AI weapon systems?

Will Syria be partitioned into new, internationally recognized sovereign states before 2040?

When will Palestine become a full UN member state?

NATO Troops in Ukraine by 2027? → Conflict of Russia and NATO State by 2027?

Will combat troops from NATO countries be openly present in Ukraine before 2027 in significant numbers?

Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027?

Will any member country leave BRICS before 2035?

Will Turkey be a member of the European Union by 2040?

Will Ukraine regain control of the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant before January 1, 2024?

When will the remaining six Millennium Prize problems be solved?

Will there be a major conflict involving an external actor in Transnistria before July 1, 2023?

When will Russia launch a new major land offensive in Ukraine outside of claimed oblasts?

Will Ukraine regain control of the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant before March 1, 2023?