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jleibowich
Predictions
48
Comments
221
Member Since
November 2022
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Questions by jleibowich
Will X declare bankruptcy in 2024?
result
No
Will the Shanghai (SSE) Composite Index go up over 2024?
result
Yes
Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain Prime Minister of Israel throughout 2024?
result
Yes
Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to midnight in January 2024?
result
No
Will Bitcoin go up over 2024?
result
Yes
Will No Labels officially announce a presidential candidate before 2024?
Annulled
Will an international AI regulatory agency, like IAEA, for oversight of transformative AI systems be established before 2030?
50%
chance
Will an LLM pass an ARA evaluation before 2025?
result
No
Will a major cyberattack, virus, worm, etc. that uses autonomously self-replicating LLMs in some important way occur before January 1st, 2025?
result
No
Will a major cyberattack, virus, worm, etc. that uses LLMs in some important way occur before January 1st, 2025?
result
No
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