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TNTOutburst
Predictions
22
Comments
154
Member Since
March 2023
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Questions by TNTOutburst
Will "Change in Average Inflation Rate" correctly predict the popular vote winner in the 2028 US presidential election?
"Change in Average Inflation Rate" will correctly predict the 2028 Popular Vote Winner
55.5%
"Change in Average Inflation Rate" will be below 0% for the 2028 election
40%
If Donald Trump is incarcerated or put under house arrest for over 30 days before 2030, what date will his confinement begin?
12 Sep 2029
What MMLU benchmark score will Google DeepMind's Gemini model have on release?
result
71.8
How many false keys will there be in the 2024 edition of "The Keys to the White House"?
result
4
Will Ukraine be in control of these cities on January 1st, 2027?
Nova Kakhovka
9%
Polohy
4%
Tokmak
4%
and 11 others
What rating will Bethesda's video game Starfield have on Steam two weeks after release?
result
76
When will a humanoid robot be created that the general public judges as indistinguishable from humans?
Aug 2047
When will OpenAI make the GPT-4 model available for free ChatGPT users?
result
16 May 2024 08:00