3 comments
55 forecasters
Where will ManticAI place in the Metaculus Cup Fall 2025 leaderboard?
Current estimate
9
0 comments
1 forecaster
What percentage in the US will trust AI in the following years, according to the Edelman Trust Barometer?
1 comment
25 forecasters
Will cryptocurrencies account for at least 1% of U.S. retail payments before January 1, 2035?
87%chance
0 comments
10 forecasters
Will an FDA-approved diagnostic test that predicts individual response to longevity interventions be commercially available and covered by insurers by January 1, 2030?
33%chance
0 comments
4 forecasters
Which reproductive technology will achieve more clinical trial successes in human trait selection by 2035?
Embryo gene editing45.9%
In vitro gametogenesis (IVG)32.3%
Neither/Other21.8%
1 comment
8 forecasters
Will an AI shopping agent service achieve significant commercial deployment by December 31, 2026?
98%chance
0 comments
10 forecasters
Will Puerto Rico's industrial sector be powered primarily by New Nuclear before 2040?
25%chance