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sandman
Predictions
82
Comments
45
Member Since
March 2023
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Questions by sandman
Experimental Feature: Question Links
9
2 comments
2
Important Updates to Prediction Auto-withdrawal
7
70 comments
70
What percentage in the US will trust AI in the following years, according to the Edelman Trust Barometer?
Will cryptocurrencies account for at least 1% of U.S. retail payments before January 1, 2035?
90%
chance
Will an FDA-approved diagnostic test that predicts individual response to longevity interventions be commercially available and covered by insurers by January 1, 2030?
50%
chance
Which reproductive technology will achieve more clinical trial successes in human trait selection by 2035?
Embryo gene editing
45.9%
In vitro gametogenesis (IVG)
32.3%
Neither/Other
21.8%
Will an AI shopping agent service achieve significant commercial deployment by December 31, 2026?
95%
chance
Will Puerto Rico's industrial sector be powered primarily by New Nuclear before 2040?
25%
chance
Before March 1, 2026, will Meta settle the lawsuit brought by state attorneys general alleging the platform(s) were designed to foster compulsive use by minors?
41%
chance
6.6% this week
When will the first privately governed charter city have 10,000 residents?
Apr 2060
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