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GOLDEN-BLUE

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4 forecasters

Will Wales become an independent sovereign state before the following years?

8 forecasters

How many of these Cabinet ministers will fail to be re-elected to the House of Commons at the next UK election?

community

19.5

result

15

36 forecasters

How many member states will the European Union have by 2040?

Current estimate

30.6 states

36 forecasters

Will the Republic of Ireland abandon the policy of military neutrality before 2030?

25%chance