quinoa

Predictions1106

Comments2

Member SinceJune 2023

Overview Track Record Medals Comments Questions

Overview Track Record Medals Comments Questions

Questions by quinoa

13 forecasters

Will at least one 2025 WNBA semifinal series end in a sweep (3-0)

resultNo

5 forecasters

Who will win the 2025 NBA Western Conference Championship?

Oklahoma City Thunder

result: Yes

Houston Rockets

0.1%

Los Angeles Lakers

0.1%

Minnesota Timberwolves

37%

4 others

5 forecasters

Bitcoin Price on June 15, 2025, at 10:00 AM ET

community

99.4k

result

105.56205k

5 forecasters

Will Pete Hegseth be removed as Defense Secretary by September 1, 2025?

resultNo

6 forecasters

Will Brown University's funding be unfrozen by September 1, 2025?

resultYes

4 forecasters

What will the Fed Funds target range be following the July 30–31, 2025 meeting?

Above 4.25

result: Yes

4.00 - 4.25

17.8%

3.75 - 4.00

5.5%

3.50 - 3.75

2.1%

Below 3.50

0.1%

6 forecasters

How many people currently in the Forbes Top 10 (Musk, Bezos, Zuckerberg, Ellison, Buffett, Arnault, Page, Brin, Ortega, Ballmer) will no longer be in the Top 10 by September 1, 2025?

1

result: Yes

2

29%

3

24.9%

4

17%

2 others

3 forecasters

How many current NBA head coaches will have been fired by September 1, 2025?

1-3

result: Yes

4

29.5%

5

19.2%

6

9.5%

4 others

10 forecasters

Who will be the next Pope?

Pierbattista Pizzaballa

19.3%

Pietro Parolin

23.3%

Luis Antonio Tagle

19.6%

Other

result: Yes

4 others

10 forecasters

Will any model achieve a 40%+ performance on Humanity’s Last Exam by September 1, 2025?

resultYes

7 forecasters

Will OpenAI release o4 or o5-mini/o5-mini-high by September 1, 2025?

resultNo

6 forecasters

Will the record for the warmest day on record for the entire planet be broken by September 1, 2025?

resultNo

10 forecasters

What will Pennsylvania's voter turnout percentage be for the 2024 presidential election?

community

72.6

result

69.6

12 forecasters

Will Kelly Ayotte win the New Hampshire gubernatorial election in 2024?

resultYes

12 forecasters

What will the margin (%) be in Rhode Island for the 2024 presidential election as of 2:00 PM EST on 11/7/2024?

community

19.5

result

13.6

12 forecasters

Will the 2024 US presidential election be called before 5:00 PM on 11/7/2024?

resultYes