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pashka24
Predictions
0
Comments
56
Member Since
August 2024
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Questions by pashka24
3 comments
67 forecasters
Will the Trump administration release the Epstein Files before January 20, 2029?
30%
chance
1 comment
12 forecasters
Will the Asteroid 2024 YR4 Hit the Earth or the Moon before 2033?
5%
chance
10 comments
96 forecasters
Will the United States invade Venezuela before January 20, 2029?
15%
chance
Key Factors
100% chance
Will the United States intervene militarily in Venezuela again before May 2026?
Trump suggests US control of Venezuela
3 comments
30 forecasters
Will Nayib Bukele Rule El Salvador for Life?
6%
chance
7 comments
92 forecasters
Will Zelenskyy Swap Territory/Cede Land to End the War?
25%
chance
2 comments
16 forecasters
Will the US Admit a New State to the Union before 2036?
12%
chance
3 comments
33 forecasters
Will Israel Take Control of Gaza City before Jan 20, 2029?
24%
chance
Key Factors
Trump's Peace Plan negotiation results
4 comments
24 forecasters
Will the UK economy grow by at least 2% in any year of the 59th parliamentary term?
33.3%
chance
1 comment
16 forecasters
Will Labour reduce small boat crossings in the English Channel by at least 50% during the 59th parliament term?
25.3%
chance
1 comment
20 forecasters
Will the UK join or create a youth mobility scheme with the EU before 2030?
66.8%
chance
1 comment
32 forecasters
Will a federal voter ID bill be signed by Trump before Jan. 20, 2029?
60%
chance
3 comments
14 forecasters
Will the UK join the Pan-Euro-Mediterranean Convention before 2029?
33%
chance
7 comments
40 forecasters
Will Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations during Donald Trump's second presidency?
40%
chance
Key Factors
Arab, Middle Eastern support for Trump's plan
Ceasefire plans potentially agreed by both sides
Trump seeks international peacekeeping force
4 comments
24 forecasters
Will Donald Trump pay his settlement to E. Jean Carroll before January 20, 2029?
0.1%
chance
Key Factors
Trump's history of not paying debts
6 comments
89 forecasters
Will the United States take control of the Panama Canal before 21 January 2029?
4%
chance
Key Factors
United States obtainment status of Greenland
2026 Congressional Re-elections
Supreme Court compliance
12 comments
25 forecasters
Will any court sentence Luigi Mangione to death before 2030?
1.3%
chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
8 comments
63 forecasters
Will the USA invade Mexico and acknowledge that invasion before January 20, 2029?
5%
chance
Key Factors
Potential US invasion of Venezuela
2 comments
14 forecasters
Will the USPS be privatized before January 20, 2029?
12%
chance
6 comments
37 forecasters
Will IS return to Syria before 2031?
60%
chance
4 comments
43 forecasters
Will the US Department of Education be dissolved before Jan. 20, 2029?
15%
chance
10 comments
21 forecasters
Will Elon Musk's million-dollar giveaway to register voters be considered illegal on December 31, 2025?
result
No
14 comments
113 forecasters
Will the US break up Google before 1 January 2026?
result
No
10 comments
23 forecasters
Will the certification of the 2024 US Presidential election be delayed until after January 6, 2025 for any reason?
result
No
9 comments
85 forecasters
Will any country trigger article 50 to leave the European Union, before 2030?
4%
chance
Key Factors
Constitutional barriers limit Article 50 trigger
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