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EmanuelR
Predictions
798
Comments
7
Member Since
September 2024
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Questions by EmanuelR
5 comments
5 forecasters
When will the retail price of a 64GB (2x32GB) DDR5-6000 memory kit fall below $300 USD?
Current estimate
30 Jun 2028
2 comments
4 forecasters
When will ≥ 10 operational Golden Dome orbital interceptor satellites be simultaneously in orbit?
Current estimate
Jan 2038
Key Factors
Ballooning cost may delay the program
Performance concerns with missile detection
Future Congress funding cancellation risk
6 comments
60 forecasters
Will OpenAI release an open-source model that ranks in the top 35 of the Chatbot Arena leaderboard before October 2025?
result
No
2 comments
17 forecasters
Will the 2026 ICPC World Finals be held in China?
10%
chance
8%
this week