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noah_h_kim
Predictions
0
Comments
0
Member Since
September 2024
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Questions
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Questions
Questions by noah_h_kim
0
comments
15
forecasters
What will the Federal Reserve decide regarding the federal funds rate at its May 2025 meeting?
No Change
result:
Yes
Cut 25 bps
25.4%
Hike 25 bps
5%
2 others
3%
0
comments
14
forecasters
Out of the following NFL prospects who will be drafted first in the 2025 NFL Draft? Travis Hunter, Cam Ward, Shedeur Sanders, Tez Johnson.
Cam Ward
result:
Yes
Travis Hunter
28.3%
Shedeur Sanders
9.4%
1 other
1%
0
comments
14
forecasters
Will a large language model (LLM) solve ≥ 40% of FrontierMath questions before May 15, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET?
result
No
0
comments
14
forecasters
By May 15, 2025, will there be a frontier reasoning model that is publicly and unambiguously known to conduct much of its reasoning via a medium other than natural language?
result
No
1
comment
14
forecasters
How many tornadoes will occur in the United States during April 2025?
community
223
result
351
0
comments
14
forecasters
Will Choi Sang-mok remain the acting president of South Korea by April 2, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET?
result
No
0
comments
14
forecasters
Will the Russia-Ukraine war end before May 15, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET?
result
No
0
comments
14
forecasters
What will be the global average temperature anomaly (in °C) relative to the 20th-century baseline, averaged over the period ending April 30, 2025?
community
1.25
result
1.2775
0
comments
14
forecasters
How many papers will George Em Karniadakis have published in the year 2025 by May 1, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET?
community
27.8 papers
result
32 papers
0
comments
14
forecasters
Will Kieran Culkin host Saturday Night Live (SNL) by May 15, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET?
result
No
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