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BenWilson
Predictions
1
Comments
58
Member Since
November 2024
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Questions by BenWilson
Announcing the Winners of the Q2 2025 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament
6
0
comments
Q2 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament
0
comments
107
forecasters
[PRACTICE] What will be the score ratio of the highest performing bot compared to the top 5 participants in the Summer 2025 Metaculus Cup?
Latest estimate
34.3%
This question is closed for forecasting.
0
comments
107
forecasters
[PRACTICE] Which party will lead the 2025 Tasmanian government?
Liberal
70.6%
None before September
17.1%
Labor
9.5%
1 other
3%
This question is closed for forecasting.
0
comments
112
forecasters
[PRACTICE] Will Shigeru Ishiba cease to be Prime Minister of Japan before September 2025?
15%
chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
0
comments
108
forecasters
[PRACTICE] What will be the community prediction of this question divided by 2?
Latest estimate
15.8 units
This question is closed for forecasting.
Metaculus AI Forecasting Benchmark Resources Page
3
17
17
comments
Another Year of AI Benchmarking: The Plan
11
0
comments
Q2 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament
Q1 AI Benchmark Results: Pro Forecasters Crush Bots
14
3
3
comments
Q1 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament
Analysis of Automated Prompt Engineering for Forecasting
12
3
3
comments
30
comments
10
forecasters
Will Harvard University have a Student and Exchange Visitor Program certification on July 1, 2025?
result
Yes
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