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BenWilson
Predictions
1
Comments
19
Member Since
November 2024
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Questions by BenWilson
Q1 AI Benchmarking Results: Pros Crush Bots
13
2 comments
2
Q1 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament
Analysis of Automated Prompt Engineering for Forecasting
12
2 comments
2
Will a new country be invited to BRICS at the 17th BRICS Summit?
This question is closed for forecasting. Latest Community prediction is displayed.
25%
chance
Will Harvard University have a Student and Exchange Visitor Program certification on July 1, 2025?
This question is closed for forecasting. Latest Community prediction is displayed.
62.5%
chance
Will Sam Altman and Elon Musk be on the stage together at YC AI Startup School?
result
No
Will the word "tariff" disappear from the front pages of The New York Times and Wall Street Journal before July 2025?
result
Yes
Will Kneecap perform at Glastonbury 2025?
This question is closed for forecasting. Latest Community prediction is displayed.
66%
chance
Will the word "tariff(s)" disappear from the front print pages of The New York Times and Wall Street Journal by June 1, 2025?
result
No
What defence spending target will NATO agree to at their 2025 summit?
3.5
Annulled
3
Annulled
4
Annulled
and 3 others
Will the White House admit at least one AP reporter or photographer to an Oval Office media event before July 1, 2025, in compliance with Judge Trevor McFadden’s April 8 preliminary injunction?
Annulled
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