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dougiebuckets
Predictions
2
Comments
28
Member Since
February 2025
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Questions by dougiebuckets
3
comments
15
forecasters
Will US undergraduate enrollment decline by more than 10% from 2024 to 2030?
60%
chance
11%
this week
4
comments
3
forecasters
When will Polymarket launch a token?
Current estimate
24 Aug 2026
6
comments
23
forecasters
Will the US start the process of building a nuclear-powered data center on a military base before 2029?
50%
chance
6
comments
11
forecasters
Will legislation pass before 2029 that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest income bracket?
75%
chance
2
comments
18
forecasters
Will there be a large-scale power outage in the Continental Europe synchronous grid affecting multiple countries before 2028?
42%
chance
6
comments
2
forecasters
Which of the following California oil refineries will first announce the intent to idle, restructure, or cease operations before 2028?
Valero (Wilmington)
63.5%
PBF Energy (Martinez)
8.5%
PBF Energy (Torrance)
8.5%
4 others
19%
1
comment
1
forecaster
Will the U.S. Treasury Issue BitBonds by December 31, 2028?
9%
chance
1
comment
1
forecaster
Who will Trump nominate as next Fed Chair?
Judy Shelton
29%
Larry Kudlow
24%
Kevin Hassett
18%
3 others
29%
1
comment
4
forecasters
What will the highest level of Bitcoin dominance be in 2025?
65% to 67.9%
49.9%
68% to 69.9%
37.9%
70% or higher
12%
2 others
0%
1
comment
9
forecasters
Will China and the EU Reach a Trade or Tariff Agreement in 2025?
20%
chance
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