mghodak

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Member SinceMay 2025

Overview Track Record Medals Questions

Overview Track Record Medals Questions

Questions by mghodak

7 forecasters

What percentage of companies will report that at least 11% of their EBIT is due to the use of generative AI in 2029?

Current estimate

54.4%

9 forecasters

What will be the total US public spending on AI-related contracts in 2029?

Current estimate

15.4B $

18 forecasters

What percent of workforce tasks performed in 2025 by humans will be primarily automated in 2029 in the United States?

Current estimate

31.7%

7 forecasters

What will be the total disclosed VC funding levels globally invested in AI startups during 2029?

Current estimate

518B $

9 forecasters

How many of the following countries will enact a national-level law that restricts the deployment of high-risk AI systems before 2030?

Current estimate

7.72 countries

4 forecasters

How many of the following countries will enact a comprehensive national-level AI law before 2030?

Current estimate

7.87 countries

22 forecasters

Will the federal US government provide any financial incentives specifically for increasing adoption of AI by private companies before 2030?

50%chance

What percentage of companies will report that at least 11% of their revenues is due to the use of generative AI in 2029?

community

result

Annulled

10 forecasters

How many of the 25 largest global companies will have a C-suite officer that specializes in AI, as of January 1, 2030?

Current estimate

17.8 companies

12 forecasters

What percentage of workers will report that they use AI daily as a part of their role in 2029?

Current estimate

71.4%

Key Factors

Sector-specific AI usage differences
Awareness of AI integration is limited

6 forecasters

What percentage of businesses surveyed in 2029 will cite regulatory uncertainty as a relevant risk of AI?

Current estimate

44.3%

7 forecasters

What percentage of firms will report difficulties hiring for AI-related roles in 2029?

Current estimate

46.2%

10 forecasters

What percentage of business leaders will describe their deployment of AI as "mature" in 2029?

Current estimate

39.8%

10 forecasters

What percentage of businesses are using AI in five or more business functions in 2029?

Current estimate

63.5%

Key Factors

Software, SaaS and PaaS as baking it into everything. It will be everywhere for the most part invisible.

13 forecasters

How quickly will companies put novel generative AI capabilities to use in 2029?

Current estimate

3.75 months