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mghodak
Predictions
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Member Since
May 2025
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Questions
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Questions
Questions by mghodak
0 comments
8 forecasters
What percentage of companies will report that at least 11% of their EBIT is due to the use of generative AI in 2029?
Current estimate
42.4%
0 comments
10 forecasters
What will be the total US public spending on AI-related contracts in 2029?
Current estimate
31.2B $
0 comments
19 forecasters
What percent of workforce tasks performed in 2025 by humans will be primarily automated in 2029 in the United States?
Current estimate
28.5%
0 comments
8 forecasters
What will be the total disclosed VC funding levels globally invested in AI startups during 2029?
Current estimate
399B $
0 comments
10 forecasters
How many of the following countries will enact a national-level law that restricts the deployment of high-risk AI systems before 2030?
Current estimate
6.98 countries
0 comments
5 forecasters
How many of the following countries will enact a comprehensive national-level AI law before 2030?
Current estimate
6.6 countries
0 comments
21 forecasters
Will the federal US government provide any financial incentives specifically for increasing adoption of AI by private companies before 2030?
50%
chance
2 comments
What percentage of companies will report that at least 11% of their revenues is due to the use of generative AI in 2029?
community
result
Annulled
5 comments
11 forecasters
How many of the 25 largest global companies will have a C-suite officer that specializes in AI, as of January 1, 2030?
Current estimate
13.4 companies
1 comment
13 forecasters
What percentage of workers will report that they use AI daily as a part of their role in 2029?
Current estimate
64.8%
Key Factors
Sector-specific AI usage differences
Awareness of AI integration is limited
0 comments
7 forecasters
What percentage of businesses surveyed in 2029 will cite regulatory uncertainty as a relevant risk of AI?
Current estimate
25.6%
0 comments
8 forecasters
What percentage of firms will report difficulties hiring for AI-related roles in 2029?
Current estimate
36.3%
0 comments
11 forecasters
What percentage of business leaders will describe their deployment of AI as "mature" in 2029?
Current estimate
33%
1 comment
11 forecasters
What percentage of businesses are using AI in five or more business functions in 2029?
Current estimate
57.7%
Key Factors
Software, SaaS and PaaS as baking it into everything. It will be everywhere for the most part invisible.
0 comments
14 forecasters
How quickly will companies put novel generative AI capabilities to use in 2029?
Current estimate
2.87 months