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tejvn
Predictions
2842
Comments
100
Member Since
December 2025
occupation
Data Science Major @ UC Berkeley
links
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Questions by tejvn
1 comment
11 forecasters
Will a SHA-256 Collision or Preimage be Publicly Demonstrated before 2050?
40%
chance
18 comments
160 forecasters
What will SpaceX's stock price be at the end of August 2026?
community
135 $
result
143.69 $
8 comments
110 forecasters
Will the Brookmont Catastrophic Bond ETF drop at least $0.25 within two days before September 2026?
result
No
9 comments
128 forecasters
Will Instructure be subject to another major hack before September 1, 2026?
result
No
13 comments
102 forecasters
How many WSOP bracelets will the 2026 Main Event winner hold at the end of the 2026 WSOP season?
community
1.33 bracelets
result
1 bracelets
21 comments
105 forecasters
How many building permits will California issue in March through May 2026?
community
27.4k Building Permits
result
27.049k Building Permits
1 comment
29 forecasters
Will Claude Code remain available to new Claude Pro subscribers through 2026?
76.3%
chance
7 comments
7 forecasters
What proportion of SCOTUS decisions issued in Q2 2026 will be authored by a Democrat-appointed Justice?
community
0.267
result
0.2368
2 comments
7 forecasters
What will be the mean of the top 10 scores on the Metaculus 2026 Peer Accuracy leaderboard?
Current estimate
40.3 points
3 comments
13 forecasters
Will atomic chess be solved by 2100, and if so, what result?
Win for White
30.9%
Draw
21.4%
Win for Black
2.1%
No Proof by 2100
45.6%
4 comments
11 forecasters
Will Polymarket "Holding Rewards" rate fall below 4% before 2028?
result
Yes
3 comments
13 forecasters
How many barrels of crude oil will be in the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve on April 30, 2026?
community
388M Barrels
result
397.9M Barrels
3 comments
55 forecasters
Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran during 2026?
1%
chance
5 comments
16 forecasters
What will be the Economist Democracy Index for Iran in 2026?
Current estimate
1.66
1 comment
5 forecasters
Will Donald J. Trump vacate the U.S. Presidency before noon Eastern Time on January 20, 2029? → What will be the 10 year compound annual growth rate for the S&P 500 in the 2020s?
5 comments
15 forecasters
Will California experience a 6.5+ magnitude earthquake before 2030?
60%
chance