Future Perfect

129 Followers

26 Questions

This question is also part of main Metaculus.

35 comments

1.4k forecasters

Will Elon Musk be the world's richest person on December 31, 2025?

75%chance

12% this week

This question is also part of main Metaculus.

14 comments

249 forecasters

Will electric vehicles make up more than 10% of new light duty vehicle sales in the United States before October 2025?

15%chance

5% this week

This question is also part of main Metaculus.

79 comments

1.8k forecasters

Will there be a bilateral ceasefire in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2026?

7%chance

7% this week

This question is also part of main Metaculus.

15 comments

1.4k forecasters

Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain Prime Minister of Israel throughout 2025?

95%chance

4% this week

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29 comments

1.2k forecasters

Will the US Congress pass a bill implementing Trump's tariff policies in 2025?

3%chance

This question is also part of main Metaculus.

14 comments

1.1k forecasters

Will Iran possess a nuclear weapon before 2026?

1.2%chance

1.2% this week

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24 comments

222 forecasters

Will at least one All-Star from the NFL, NBA, MLB, or NHL be banned or suspended for sports betting before 2026?

57%chance

This question is also part of main Metaculus.

18 comments

1.1k forecasters

Will major components of the Affordable Care Act be repealed or curtailed before 2026?

7%chance

This question is also part of main Metaculus.

5 comments

177 forecasters

How many pounds of chicken per capita will the US consume in 2025?

Current estimate

104 lbs

This question is also part of main Metaculus.

23 comments

1.1k forecasters

Will Jerome Powell cease to hold the office of Chair of the Federal Reserve before 2026?

10%chance