Question
Will the US Congress pass a bill implementing Trump's tariff policies in 2025?
Total Forecasters1181
Community Prediction
8%
(5% - 20%)
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Authors:
Opened:Dec 20, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 1, 2025
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Will customs duties revenue to the federal government increase from $80 billion in fiscal year 2023 to $160 billion in fiscal year 2026 (in 2023 dollars)?
68%
Will the Trump administration impose significant federal price controls before Jan 20, 2029?
66%
What will the effective US tariff rate on goods being imported into the United States be at the end of 2026?
9.23
Authors:
Opened:Dec 20, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 1, 2025
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Will customs duties revenue to the federal government increase from $80 billion in fiscal year 2023 to $160 billion in fiscal year 2026 (in 2023 dollars)?
68%
Will the Trump administration impose significant federal price controls before Jan 20, 2029?
66%
What will the effective US tariff rate on goods being imported into the United States be at the end of 2026?
9.23