Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
a
/
文
Log in
Sign Up
37
comments
1.4k
forecasters
Will Elon Musk be the world's richest person on December 31, 2025?
90%
chance
5 points
Share
Predict
Top Key Factors
View all (1)
Musk leads by a large amount
Impact
Decreases Likelihood
Strength
9 votes
Comments
Timeline
In the News
Key Factors
Question Info
Timeline
1d
1w
2m
all
Resolution Criteria
Key Factors
Background Info
Histogram
Follow
embed
Authors:
johnnycaffeine
Opened:
Dec 20, 2024
Closes:
Dec 31, 2025
Scheduled resolution:
Dec 31, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:
Feb 1, 2025
ACX 2025 Prediction Contest
Future Perfect
Economy & Business
🏆 2024-2025 Leaderboard
News Match
Elon Musk could become the world’s first trillionaire. Here’s what that looks like
Independent
•
Nov 8, 2025
Elon Musk is worth every cent of his trillion dollars
Independent
•
Nov 7, 2025
Elon Musk on course to become the world's first TRILLIONAIRE: Tycoon sets out his vision for AI cars and robot army to perform surgery and 'eliminate poverty'
Daily Mail
•
Nov 7, 2025
Show More News
Learn more
about Metaculus NewsMatch
Similar Questions
Will Elon Musk have double the wealth of the second richest person on any day before 2026?
1%
chance
48
Will Elon Musk have triple the wealth of the second richest person on any day before 2028?
2%
chance
26
Will Elon Musk have quadruple the wealth of the second richest person on any day before 2030?
26%
chance
28
Show More Questions