Future Perfect

132 Followers

26 Questions

This question is also part of main Metaculus.

42 comments

196 forecasters

Will at least one All-Star from the NFL, NBA, MLB, or NHL be banned or suspended for sports betting before 2026?

17%chance

23% this week

Key Factors

This question is also part of main Metaculus.

37 comments

1.4k forecasters

Will Elon Musk be the world's richest person on December 31, 2025?

92%chance

7% this week

Key Factors

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29 comments

1.2k forecasters

Will the US Congress pass a bill implementing Trump's tariff policies in 2025?

2%chance

Key Factors

This question is also part of main Metaculus.

18 comments

1k forecasters

Will major components of the Affordable Care Act be repealed or curtailed before 2026?

5%chance

This question is also part of main Metaculus.

35 comments

270 forecasters

Will electric vehicles make up more than 10% of new light duty vehicle sales in the United States before October 2025?

resultYes

This question is also part of main Metaculus.

22 comments

430 forecasters

Will bitcoin reach $200k in 2025?

1%chance

This question is also part of main Metaculus.

16 comments

123 forecasters

Before January 1, 2026, will Israel formally lift its warnings against Palestinians returning to northern Gaza?

resultYes

This question is also part of main Metaculus.

68 comments

2.1k forecasters

Will Donald Trump have a positive net favorability rate on December 20, 2025, according to 538?

0.7%chance

This question is also part of main Metaculus.

12 comments

176 forecasters

How many farmed birds will be killed in the United States due to bird flu in 2025?

Current estimate

57.1M birds

This question is also part of main Metaculus.

30 comments

371 forecasters

Will a major AI lab claim in 2025 that they have developed AGI?

1%chance