98.384 | Will Western institutions determine Israel was responsible for the attack on the Al-Ahli Baptist Hospital in Gaza City before 2024? | Binary |
95.375 | Will the Wagner Group control a part of Moscow by July 1, 2023? | Binary |
94.961 | Will a US warship enter the Black Sea before September 25, 2023? | Binary |
92.065 | Will the U2 concert at The Sphere on September 29, 2023 take place? | Binary |
87.294 | Will Ukraine have de facto control of the Tokmak railway station on January 1, 2024? | Binary |
80.735 | Will Donald Trump participate in the 2nd Republican primary debate? | Binary |
77.281 | Short Fuse: Will the 'Titan' submersible be recovered intact by noon ET on Thursday, June 22? | Binary |
74.846 | Will the Black Sea grain deal be revived before October 1, 2023? | Binary |
73.629 | Will Reddit announce changes or a delay to its proposed API fee pricing before July 1, 2023? | Binary |
68.352 | Before October 1, 2023, will US Senator Bob Menendez announce that he is resigning? | Binary |
68.318 | Will the agreement between the Kremlin and the Wagner Group hold through the end of June? | Binary |
67.264 | Will any of the listed alleged co-conspirators of Donald Trump be indicted for a federal felony before August 11, 2023? | Binary |
66.504 | Will the extent of Antarctic sea ice for every day in September 2023 be the lowest in recorded history? | Binary |
66.057 | Will OpenAI open-source GPT-3 before 2024? | Binary |
62.188 | Will General Sergei Surovikin be stripped of his command by July 11th? | Binary |
59.012 | Will the WHO name BA.2.86 as a SARS-CoV-2 Variant of Interest before October 1, 2023? | Binary |
56.944 | Russian Coup or Regime Change before 2024? (No) → Crimea-Russia Land Bridge Severed by 2024? | Binary |
55.688 | Will Ukraine have de facto control of the city council building in Melitopol on January 1, 2024? | Binary |
50.649 | Will Ukraine retake Polohy by the 1st of October, 2023? | Binary |
49.459 | Will a nationwide UPS strike be underway in the United States on August 4, 2023? | Binary |
45.632 | Will OpenAI report having ≥99% uptime for ChatGPT and the OpenAI API in December 2023? | Binary |
41.284 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu) | Binary |
39.984 | Will Hamas lose control of Gaza before 2024? | Binary |
35.304 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Recep Tayyip Erdoğan) | Binary |
27.852 | Will Ukraine regain control of central Bakhmut by the end of September 2023? | Binary |
24.207 | Will Ukraine regain control of the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant before January 1, 2024? | Binary |
23.892 | Will Yevgeny Prigozhin be the functional leader of the Wagner Group on June 30, 2023? | Binary |
21.867 | Will Ohio Issue 1 pass in the August 2023 election? | Binary |
19.365 | Will Russia substantially damage or destroy a Patriot Missile Battery in Ukraine before July, 2023? | Binary |
2.953 | Will Bitcoin reach $40,000 before January 1, 2024? | Binary |
-1.012 | Will internationally recognized media outlets report that a significant Ukrainian military counteroffensive has begun before June 21, 2023? | Binary |
-30.529 | Will the Dow Jones close at or above 35,000 before August 1, 2023? | Binary |
-136.187 | Will OpenAI release a finetuning API for GPT-4 before 2024? | Binary |