97.484 | Will President Trump fire (or request and accept the resignation of) Jerome Powell, Chairman of the Federal Reserve? | Binary |
96.519 | By 2020, will one of the two major U.S. political parties nominate for some office someone who openly admits to being a Flat Earther? | Binary |
88.048 | Will one of the recall California Governor Gavin Newsom get the required validated signatures and trigger a recall election before Nov 2, 2020? | Binary |
82.504 | Will Elizabeth Warren be the 2020 Democratic Party Nominee for President of the United States? | Binary |
64.505 | Future Perfect 2019 Series: Q2 - US homicides will decline | Binary |
61.962 | Will Moon Express successfully scout the moon by 2021? | Binary |
58.377 | Will Donald Trump Jr. be charged with a crime by Father's Day 2018? | Binary |
47.028 | Future Perfect 2019 Series: Q4 - More animals will be killed for US human consumption in 2019 than in 2018 | Binary |
42.932 | Will Trump be reelected president if the election is called by November 10th 2020? | Binary |
37.314 | A restaurant serving cultured meat by 2021? | Binary |
34.700 | Will "Rentberry" auction-style apartment rental model succeed? | Binary |
23.700 | What will be the price of a barrel of crude oil at Christmas 2018? | Continuous |
23.387 | Brexit negotiations completed by March 2019? | Binary |
17.573 | Will Jared Kushner be charged with a crime by Tax Day 2018? | Binary |
10.528 | Will Elon Musk step down as CEO of Tesla by mid-2018? | Binary |
2.624 | Armed conflict in the South China Sea by 2019? | Binary |
1.604 | Will the winner of the 2020 Iowa Democratic caucuses win the 2020 Democratic nomination? | Binary |
1.365 | How much will President Trump govern by decree? | Continuous |
1.240 | Will the Allen Telescope Array discover anything in its SETI search of red dwarf stars over the next two years? | Binary |
0.564 | Will engineers create a material with a melting point higher than 4300K (and hence any other substance) by 2021? | Binary |
0.478 | When will machine translation achieve a "word accuracy score" comparable to that of professional human translators? | Continuous |
0.425 | Will US regulations that restrict self-driving trucks be implemented? | Binary |
0.188 | When will a commercial enterprise put a human in orbit? | Continuous |
0.060 | When will the median Hongkonger be merely "quite disatisfied" with the present political condition in Hong Kong, according to HKPORI? | Continuous |
0.027 | Will the Democrats nominate someone from Generation X for president in 2020? | Binary |
- | Announcement of evidence for aliens by 2020? | Binary |
- | Will Tesla roll out the fully autonomous autopilot feature before 2021? | Binary |
-0.186 | Will 2018 be the warmest year on record? | Binary |
-0.832 | By May 2020, will a single language model obtain an average score equal to or greater than 90% on the SuperGLUE benchmark? | Binary |
-5.841 | Will Pete Buttigieg drop out before the Indiana primary? | Binary |
-12.699 | Will North Korea test-launch an ICBM by the end of 2018? | Binary |
-13.663 | Who will win the 'Greatest of All Time' Jeopardy tournament with Ken Jennings, Brad Rutter, and James Holzhauer? | Continuous |
-54.965 | Will Facebook's Libra initiative launch by Oct 1st 2020? | Binary |
-93.359 | Will Joe Biden be the Democratic candidate in the 2020 US presidential election? | Binary |
-99.690 | Will the 2020 Democratic Nominee be either Kamala Harris or Bernie Sanders? | Binary |