99.471 | Will Israel use nuclear weapons in combat before October 7, 2024? | Binary |
99.455 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Donald Trump) | Binary |
99.245 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
99.245 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Chris Christie) | Binary |
99.208 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Sarah Palin) | Binary |
99.176 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Michelle Obama) | Binary |
98.911 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Ted Cruz) | Binary |
98.826 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Marjorie Taylor Greene) | Binary |
98.623 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Tucker Carlson) | Binary |
98.506 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Donald Trump Jr.) | Binary |
98.433 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
98.415 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Ivanka Trump) | Binary |
98.193 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
98.108 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
98.055 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Kim Reynolds) | Binary |
98.028 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Hillary Clinton) | Binary |
97.752 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Pete Buttigieg) | Binary |
97.721 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Tulsi Gabbard) | Binary |
97.680 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
97.500 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Glenn Youngkin) | Binary |
97.499 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Marianne Williamson) | Binary |
97.305 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
96.668 | Will an investigation conducted by or on behalf of any NATO government report that the US was involved in the destruction of the Nord Stream pipeline before 2025? | Binary |
96.565 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
96.292 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Dean Phillips) | Binary |
96.239 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
96.170 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Nancy Mace) | Binary |
95.807 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Liz Cheney) | Binary |
95.799 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Andrew Yang) | Binary |
95.796 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
95.592 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Chris Christie) | Binary |
95.573 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Francis Suarez) | Binary |
95.484 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Tim Scott) | Binary |
95.427 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Gretchen Whitmer) | Binary |
95.212 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Tim Scott) | Binary |
95.148 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Will Hurd) | Binary |
95.007 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
94.934 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Joni Ernst) | Binary |
94.850 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Asa Hutchinson) | Binary |
94.759 | Donald Trump wins 2024 Republican Nomination? (Yes) → Donald Trump as Third-Party Candidate 2024? | Binary |
94.018 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Texas) | Binary |
93.918 | Will any peer-reviewed replication attempt before 2025 confirm the discovery of room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductivity in LK-99? | Binary |
93.305 | Will Joe Biden no longer be US President before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
92.883 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
90.828 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
90.695 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Florida) | Binary |
88.255 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Tim Scott) | Binary |
87.955 | Will US Attorney General Merrick Garland be impeached before the 2024 federal election? | Binary |
87.352 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Alaska) | Binary |
87.233 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Iowa) | Binary |
85.675 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Minnesota) | Binary |
85.149 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Larry Elder) | Binary |
85.024 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Doug Burgum) | Binary |
82.173 | Will Hillary Clinton be a candidate for President of the United States in 2024? | Binary |
81.500 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New Hampshire) | Binary |
81.407 | Will any state leave NATO before 2024? | Binary |
80.848 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Ohio) | Binary |
80.825 | Will one or more recognized Federal Subjects of the Russian Federation break away before 2025? | Binary |
79.197 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Kristi Noem) | Binary |
78.450 | Will these countries join the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty before 2024? (India, Israel or Pakistan) | Binary |
76.784 | Will Hungary declare a referendum in 2022 to exit the EU? | Binary |
76.532 | Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the following years? (2025) | Binary |
74.822 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Cenk Uygur) | Binary |
73.872 | What will China’s GDP be in 2023? | Continuous |
72.822 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
72.437 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Jill Stein) | Binary |
72.437 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Cornel West) | Binary |
72.437 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Chase Oliver) | Binary |
72.177 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Glenn Youngkin) | Binary |
70.851 | Will a non-test nuclear detonation cause at least 1 fatality before 2024? | Binary |
70.578 | Will there be a deadly clash between US and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
70.497 | Will Washington D.C. become a state before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
68.864 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
67.496 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Colorado) | Binary |
66.663 | Will the US rejoin the Iran Nuclear Deal by 2024? | Binary |
66.198 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez) | Binary |
66.113 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Stacy Abrams) | Binary |
66.107 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Bernie Sanders) | Binary |
66.067 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Elizabeth Warren) | Binary |
66.052 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Michelle Obama) | Binary |
66.039 | Will there be at least one fatality due to deliberate nuclear detonation by 2024? | Binary |
65.935 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (J. B. Pritzker) | Binary |
65.460 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Hillary Clinton) | Binary |
64.932 | Will Sarah Sanders be on the Republican ticket in the 2024 presidential election? | Binary |
64.682 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Donald Trump Jr.) | Binary |
64.452 | By 2024, will a party to the NPT withdraw from the treaty? | Binary |
64.280 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Ted Cruz) | Binary |
63.276 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
62.346 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Pete Buttigieg) | Binary |
60.969 | Will there be a military conflict between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) before 2023? | Binary |
59.752 | By 2024, will Russia announce it intends to rejoin the Open Skies Treaty? | Binary |
59.326 | Will women be required to register for US Selective Service before 2024? | Binary |
58.748 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
58.342 | Will Bing's search engine market share be at least 5% in March of 2024? | Binary |
58.132 | By 2024, will Russia clearly and publicly affirm that decisions to authorize nuclear weapons employment must only be made by humans? | Binary |
58.066 | Will 2022 be the hottest year on record? | Binary |
57.177 | By 2024, will China clearly and publicly affirm that decisions to authorize nuclear weapons employment must only be made by humans? | Binary |
56.257 | By 2024, will the US announce it intends to rejoin the Open Skies Treaty? | Binary |
56.189 | Will Israel and Palestine hold peace talks in 2022? | Binary |
56.084 | Will there be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2024? | Binary |
55.790 | Will there be a deadly clash between Japanese and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
55.688 | If Trump is disqualified from holding the presidency, will that disqualification be ruled unconstitutional before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
55.367 | Which party will win the most seats in the next Canadian federal election? (Bloc Québécois) | Binary |
55.367 | Which party will win the most seats in the next Canadian federal election? (Green) | Binary |
55.367 | Which party will win the most seats in the next Canadian federal election? (People's) | Binary |
54.391 | Will the US officially state the intention to re-ratify the INF Treaty by 2024? | Binary |
54.328 | Will there be a deadly clash between Russian and NATO armed forces before 2024, without US involvement? | Binary |
53.536 | Which party will win the most seats in the next Canadian federal election? (New Democratic) | Binary |
53.396 | Will India have at least 200 nuclear warheads at the end of 2023? | Binary |
50.921 | Will there be at least one fatality due to inadvertent nuclear detonation by 2024? | Binary |
50.357 | Will Donald Trump become speaker of the US House of Representatives before January 15, 2023? | Binary |
50.023 | Will there be a deadly clash between Russian and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
49.536 | Will there be at least 1 fatality due to accidental or unauthorised nuclear detonation by 2024? | Binary |
48.434 | Will the US rejoin the Iran Nuclear Deal before 2023? | Binary |
45.942 | Will there be a deadly clash between the US and Russian armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
42.134 | By 2024, will a nuclear-armed state other than the US, Russia, or China clearly and publicly affirm that decisions to authorize nuclear weapons employment must only be made by humans? | Binary |
41.457 | Will there be armed conflict between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) before January 1, 2024? | Binary |
41.307 | Will there be fewer than 6 conservative justices on the SCOTUS on January 20, 2025? | Binary |
39.625 | Will the GOP control the Senate after the 2024 elections? | Binary |
39.240 | Will there be a deadly clash between Indian and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
37.238 | What will Russia's nominal GDP be in 2023, in trillions of USD? | Continuous |
35.635 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
34.781 | Will the US forgive $10,000 of federal student loans per person before 2024? | Binary |
34.542 | Will an additional state join NATO before 2024? | Binary |
34.335 | Will a third-party or independent candidate win at least 5% of the popular vote in the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
32.489 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
32.038 | Which parties will control US congress following the 2022 midterm elections? (Republican Senate, Dem House) | Binary |
30.818 | Which parties will control US congress following the 2022 midterm elections? (Democrat Senate & House) | Binary |
30.488 | Before 2024, will North Korea possess enough fissile material to make at least 100 warheads? | Binary |
29.394 | Will Mitch McConnell cease to be the US Senate Republican Leader before the next presidential inauguration (January 20, 2025)? | Binary |
25.820 | Will 2022 be warmer than 2021? | Binary |
22.451 | By November 15, 2023, will President Biden officially declare his campaign for re-election? | Binary |
21.769 | Will the US enter a recession before the following dates? (2023) | Binary |
21.173 | Will a federal law imposing disbursement requirements on donor-advised fund accounts pass in the United States before 2023? | Binary |
20.710 | Will there be a deadly clash between Indian and Chinese armed forces before 2023? | Binary |
18.183 | Will Boris Johnson be Prime Minister of the UK on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
15.858 | Will a new US Supreme Court justice be confirmed before January 1, 2023? | Binary |
12.061 | Will the US Supreme Court overturn Roe v. Wade before 2023? | Binary |
11.645 | Will Donald J. Trump run for the office of President of the United States in 2024? | Binary |
10.323 | Will at least two states each increase the size of their nuclear weapons arsenals by at least 25% by 2024? | Binary |
8.441 | Will a meat or dairy consumption tax go into effect in the US or any EU member state by 2023? | Binary |
7.289 | What will be the total number of confirmed COVID-19 deaths in the US on December 31, 2022? | Continuous |
2.836 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2022 French presidential election? | Binary |
2.310 | Will Elizabeth Truss become Leader of the UK's Conservative Party before 2025? | Binary |
2.074 | Will China have at least 420 nuclear warheads on December 31, 2023? | Binary |
-10.857 | Which parties will control US congress following the 2022 midterm elections? (Democrat Senate, Rep House) | Binary |
-11.890 | Which parties will control US congress following the 2022 midterm elections? (Republican Senate & House) | Binary |
-15.089 | Will Hunter Biden be indicted before November 5, 2024? | Binary |
-15.775 | Will Donald J. Trump be allowed to operate a Twitter account before the 2024 presidential election? | Binary |
-16.076 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Wisconsin) | Binary |
-17.947 | Will Elon Musk become CEO of Twitter before 2025? | Binary |
-92.115 | In the 2024 U.S. presidential election, will Donald Trump and Joe Biden be the top two candidates in terms of electoral votes received? | Binary |
-132.880 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
-213.771 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (J.D. Vance) | Binary |
-219.558 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Kamala Harris) | Binary |