150.853 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL) | Continuous |
144.077 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AMZN) | Continuous |
142.736 | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL) | Continuous |
127.694 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA) | Continuous |
123.745 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA) | Continuous |
119.758 | How many earthquakes of magnitude ≥ 4 will happen near Santorini, Greece in the first week of March, 2025? | Continuous |
116.881 | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for the following biweekly periods? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
106.895 | What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q2 FY2026 earnings release? (GAAP Operating Expenses) | Continuous |
103.197 | What will the total number of Tesla vehicle deliveries be for Q1 2025? | Continuous |
99.739 | What will be the difference between the Arena Score of o3 and the next best model on Chatbot Arena, on April 5, 2025? | Continuous |
97.059 | Will the National Archivist certify and publish the Equal Rights Amendment to the Constitution by June 30, 2025? | Binary |
96.745 | Will Argentina's Chamber of Deputies impeach President Javier Milei before April 1, 2025? | Binary |
96.558 | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (MSTR) | Binary |
93.641 | Will Spain win the Eurovision Song Contest in 2025? | Binary |
92.633 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AMD) | Continuous |
91.911 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT) | Continuous |
91.502 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following biweekly periods in Q3, 2025? (July 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
90.308 | Will DeepSeek be ranked higher than ChatGPT on the AppStore on April 1, 2025? | Binary |
87.570 | Will there be any active, large, non-contained fires in California on February 15, 2025? | Binary |
86.939 | Will the Trump administration impose new tariffs on the EU before April 7, 2025? | Binary |
86.617 | Will Călin Georgescu be elected President of Romania after the 2025 elections? | Binary |
86.175 | What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q2 FY2026 earnings release? (GAAP Gross Margin) | Continuous |
85.816 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following biweekly periods in Q3, 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
85.668 | Will the government of Greenland officially announce a date for an independence referendum, before April 6, 2025? | Binary |
85.548 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL) | Continuous |
82.719 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (TSLA) | Continuous |
81.501 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA) | Continuous |
80.463 | Will Elizabeth MacDonough, the current Senate parliamentarian, be removed or resign by June 30, 2025? | Binary |
79.698 | What will be the average duration of the 97th Academy Awards winning movies in the following seven categories? | Continuous |
79.470 | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for the following biweekly periods? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
79.067 | Will PEPFAR funding be resumed before April 7, 2025? | Binary |
78.135 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (TSLA) | Continuous |
74.998 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (June 16 - June 20) | Continuous |
70.691 | Will Atlético de Madrid win the EA Sports LaLiga 2024/25? | Binary |
69.621 | What will be the IMDb rating of Severance's second season finale? | Continuous |
66.805 | Will 900,000 Russian personnel losses be reported before March 21, 2025? | Binary |
63.218 | Will Israel lift the blockade to humanitarian aid into Gaza before April 7, 2025? | Binary |
61.750 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (June 2 - June 6) | Continuous |
61.702 | What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q2 FY2026 earnings release? (Revenue) | Continuous |
61.585 | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA) | Continuous |
60.017 | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AMZN) | Continuous |
59.810 | What will be the estimated number of average viewers of Super Bowl LIX? | Continuous |
58.718 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (May 19 - May 23) | Continuous |
57.499 | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT) | Continuous |
56.438 | Who will get the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Ecuadorian presidential election? | Multiple Choice |
55.520 | What will be the total number of forecasters in the Q1 2025 Quarterly Cup? | Continuous |
54.996 | Will OpenAI announce a GPT-5 AI model in 2025? | Binary |
54.552 | Which party will win the seat of Bullwinkel in the 2025 Australian Federal Election? | Multiple Choice |
54.483 | What will the total number of tokens launched on the site pump.fun be, as of March 31, 2025? | Continuous |
52.714 | How many cases will be confirmed in the Texas measles outbreak before April 7, 2025? | Continuous |
48.589 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
48.381 | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for the following biweekly periods? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
48.215 | Will China launch an antitrust investigation into Intel before April, 2025? | Binary |
47.727 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (META) | Continuous |
47.720 | What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (June 13) | Continuous |
46.883 | What Premier League position will Nottingham Forest F.C. be in on March 10, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
46.769 | Will S&P 500 recover half its drop by April 7, 2025? | Binary |
43.762 | How many executive orders will Donald Trump issue in Q1 2025? | Continuous |
42.154 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
40.134 | How many commercial passenger flights will depart from Damascus International Airport in February, 2025? | Continuous |
39.340 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > AAPL, May 2025) | Binary |
38.577 | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (TTD) | Binary |
37.552 | What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (June 27) | Continuous |
36.133 | Will the 2017 TCJA Individual Tax Cuts Be Extended Using a "Current Policy" Baseline in Senate Reconciliation? | Binary |
35.060 | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (ARES) | Binary |
35.031 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
34.770 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (MSFT > AAPL, May 2025) | Binary |
33.318 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (May 5 - May 9) | Continuous |
32.934 | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for the following biweekly periods? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
32.439 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
29.991 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > MSFT, May 2025) | Binary |
29.877 | How many executive orders will Donald Trump sign in February and March 2025? | Continuous |
29.289 | Will FC Barcelona win both the Liga F1 and the Women's Champions League in the 2024/25 season? | Binary |
28.791 | What will be the rank of Assassin's Creed Shadows on Steam's Weekly Top Sellers chart for March 18 - 25, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
28.124 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
27.313 | How many hostages will Hamas release after January 26 and before April 5, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
26.922 | Will the US officially announce the withdrawal of at least half of its troops out of Syria before April, 2025? | Binary |
26.200 | Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy meet with Donald Trump again before April 7, 2025? | Binary |
25.248 | Will Anthropic announce an AI Claude 4 model in 2025? | Binary |
23.584 | What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (May 30) | Continuous |
22.402 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
20.872 | When in 2025 will President Donald Trump sign into a law a reconciliation bill? | Multiple Choice |
20.435 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
18.556 | Will the Department of Justice or Education open a civil compliance investigation into whether diversity-related programs at Harvard constitute illegal discrimination or preferences before 2026? | Binary |
17.793 | Which of these changes to the 45X clean energy manufacturing tax credit of the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act will occur before January 1, 2026? (FEOC exclusion) | Binary |
17.472 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
15.389 | Will Crude Oil Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 weeks? (Jun 16 - Jun 27) | Binary |
15.309 | Will legislation enacted before January 1, 2026 eliminate the transferability of any of these clean energy tax credits (§48E ITC, §45Y PTC, §45X AMPC)? | Binary |
14.001 | Will Crude Oil Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 weeks? (May 19 - May 30) | Binary |
13.723 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (MSFT > AAPL, June 2025) | Binary |
13.535 | Will any more Russian or UK diplomats be expelled or recalled from UK or Russia, respectively, before April 8, 2025? | Binary |
12.718 | Who will win the UFC light heavyweight championship at UFC 313? | Multiple Choice |
12.030 | What will happen next with respect to the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act's $7,500 tax credit for US individuals who purchase an EV (30D)? | Multiple Choice |
11.562 | Will Pierre Poilievre be elected Prime Minister of Canada in 2025? | Binary |
10.912 | Will legislation be approved by at least one chamber of Congress in 2025 that places new rules, limits, or requirements on early voting, absentee voting, or voter registration in federal elections? | Binary |
10.359 | Will Kash Patel be confirmed by the Senate as FBI Director by June 30, 2025? | Binary |
10.070 | Will any rationalist, effective altruist, or AI safety researcher go on the Joe Rogan Experience before 2026? | Binary |
9.726 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AMZN) | Continuous |
8.795 | Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (May 19 - May 30) | Binary |
8.390 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > AAPL, June 2025) | Binary |
8.214 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT) | Continuous |
6.648 | Will semaglutide be taken off FDA's drug shortage list in 2025? | Binary |
6.151 | Will Liverpool win the 2024/25 UEFA Champions League? | Binary |
6.080 | Will Crude Oil Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 weeks? (May 5 - May 16) | Binary |
5.681 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (Apr 21 - Apr 25) | Continuous |
5.608 | Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (June 2 - June 13) | Binary |
5.472 | Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (May 5 - May 16) | Binary |
3.442 | What will be the the global surface air temperature on April 1, 2025? | Continuous |
1.997 | Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (May 19 - May 30) | Binary |
1.985 | Will bitcoin trade below $90k for a whole day before April 5, 2025? | Binary |
1.431 | Will TikTok become available in the US on both the App Store and Google Play before April 5, 2025? | Binary |
0.932 | Will two or more spacecraft land on the Moon in 2025? | Binary |
0.219 | Will the US government announce the renaming of the Gulf of Mexico before April 1, 2025? | Binary |
- | Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (June 16 - June 27) | Binary |
-2.498 | How much will the 2025 reconciliation bill increase the deficit from Fiscal Year (FY) 2025 to FY 2034? | Continuous |
-3.172 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (AMZN > WMT, June 2025) | Binary |
-3.514 | Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (June 16 - June 27) | Binary |
-4.540 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > MSFT, June 2025) | Binary |
-7.427 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AMD) | Continuous |
-8.763 | Will Intuitive Machines land with fully working payloads on the Moon before April 1, 2025? | Binary |
-11.355 | What will happen next concerning the repeal of the 45V (hydrogen) tax credit of the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act? | Multiple Choice |
-14.248 | Will Daniel Noboa be elected President of Ecuador in 2025? | Binary |
-15.063 | Will Crude Oil Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 weeks? (Jun 2 - Jun 13) | Binary |
-15.333 | [Short fuse] How many visitors will AnimeJapan 2025 have? | Continuous |
-19.303 | Will the US government release additional Epstein documents in 2025? | Binary |
-23.848 | Which of the five largest companies in the world will see the highest stock price growth in February and March, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
-24.922 | Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (June 2 - June 13) | Binary |
-26.398 | Will Kylian Mbappé be the top scorer in LaLiga EA Sports 2024/25? | Binary |
-37.337 | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (COIN) | Binary |
-40.333 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
-40.600 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
-40.642 | What will be the UK's Office for Budget Responsibility estimate of CPI inflation for 2025 as of March 2025? | Multiple Choice |
-43.423 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (AMZN > WMT, May 2025) | Binary |
-43.694 | Who will win the 2025 Goldsmith Prize for Investigative Reporting? | Multiple Choice |
-46.706 | Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (May 5 - May 16) | Binary |
-50.215 | When will the DC cherry trees reach peak bloom in 2025? | Multiple Choice |
-51.618 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AMZN) | Continuous |
-56.934 | Will the number of deaths due to direct conflict between Israel and Iran reach the following thresholds before 2026? (100) | Binary |
-59.356 | How much will the 2025 reconciliation bill decrease total Medicaid spending from Fiscal Year (FY) 2025 to FY 2034? | Continuous |
-64.285 | Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (Apri 21 - May 2) | Binary |
-75.915 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT) | Continuous |
-76.117 | Will there be a new world record in the 2025 World Figure Skating Championships? | Binary |
-83.212 | What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (May 16) | Continuous |
-87.950 | What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (May 2) | Continuous |
-89.754 | Will Crude Oil Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 weeks? (Apr 14 - Apr 25) | Binary |
-99.790 | What will the highest rank of metac-GPT4o or metac-o1 be in the Q1 2025 Quarterly Cup? | Continuous |
-120.984 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (META) | Continuous |
-127.599 | Will at least one announced Trump Cabinet nominee other than Matt Gaetz be withdrawn or rejected by the Senate before July 1, 2025? | Binary |
-150.464 | Will Rafał Trzaskowski be elected President of Poland in 2025? | Binary |
-153.620 | Will there be at least 1,000 deaths due to direct conflict between Israel and Iran in 2025? | Binary |
-178.727 | Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (Apr 21 - May 2) | Binary |
-186.300 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL) | Continuous |