| 76.882 | Will Arizona Senator Mark Kelly, who urged troops to defy "illegal" orders, be recalled to active duty in the US military before April 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 59.865 | Will Tessa Thompson or Wagner Moura win a Golden Globe in 2026? | Binary |
| 58.897 | Will the United States, Russia or China detonate a nuclear device before April 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 50.348 | What will the seasonally adjusted month over month headline CPI inflation be in the United States in the following months? (Dec-25) | Continuous |
| 48.870 | Will Russia gain control of Kostiantynivka before January 11, 2026? | Binary |
| 47.762 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2025-2026 Premier League? (Fulham) | Continuous |
| 46.398 | Will OpenAI file an initial registration statement (S-1) with the SEC to launch an IPO, before March 15, 2026? | Binary |
| 45.679 | Will Australia retain the Ashes in the 2025–2026 Test series? | Binary |
| 45.252 | What will the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate be in Australia, for the following months? (February 2026) | Continuous |
| 44.378 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2025-2026 Premier League? (Burnley) | Continuous |
| 44.162 | Will Tesla discontinue the Cybertruck before April 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 41.676 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2025-2026 Premier League? (Tottenham Hotspur) | Continuous |
| 40.755 | Will Israel participate in the Eurovision Song Contest 2026? | Binary |
| 40.182 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2025-2026 Premier League? (Arsenal) | Continuous |
| 39.647 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2025-2026 Premier League? (Everton) | Continuous |
| 38.867 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2025-2026 Premier League? (Brighton And Hove Albion) | Continuous |
| 38.851 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2025-2026 Premier League? (Brentford) | Continuous |
| 38.851 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2025-2026 Premier League? (Crystal Palace) | Continuous |
| 38.379 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2025-2026 Premier League? (Newcastle United) | Continuous |
| 38.123 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2025-2026 Premier League? (West Ham United) | Continuous |
| 37.860 | Will the US government enter a shutdown before February 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 37.675 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2025-2026 Premier League? (Manchester City) | Continuous |
| 37.090 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2025-2026 Premier League? (Aston Villa) | Continuous |
| 36.249 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2025-2026 Premier League? (Liverpool) | Continuous |
| 35.965 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2025-2026 Premier League? (Sunderland) | Continuous |
| 35.221 | Which team will win the 2025/2026 UEFA Champions League? (Athletico Madrid) | Binary |
| 33.744 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2025-2026 Premier League? (Wolverhampton Wanderers) | Continuous |
| 33.100 | Will Barack Obama be arrested before July 2026? | Binary |
| 32.665 | What will the seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate be in the United States in the following months? (Jun-26) | Continuous |
| 32.060 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2025-2026 Premier League? (Chelsea) | Continuous |
| 32.000 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2025-2026 Premier League? (Nottingham Forest) | Continuous |
| 31.880 | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before April 1, 2026? (SOFI) | Binary |
| 30.674 | Will the winner of the 2026 FIFA World Cup be a country that has never won before? | Binary |
| 30.149 | Which countries will Vladimir Putin visit before July 1, 2026? (Switzerland) | Binary |
| 29.900 | What will the seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate be in the United States in the following months? (May-26) | Continuous |
| 29.327 | Before July 1, 2026, will the U.S. Supreme Court agree to hear a case that could end the constitutional right to same-sex marriage? | Binary |
| 28.446 | Will the US government file a denaturalization lawsuit against Elon Musk before July 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 28.292 | Which team will win the 2025/2026 UEFA Champions League? (Bayern Munich) | Binary |
| 27.436 | What will the seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate be in the United States in the following months? (Apr-26) | Continuous |
| 26.870 | What will the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate be in Australia, for the following months? (January 2026) | Continuous |
| 26.702 | Which countries will Vladimir Putin visit before July 1, 2026? (Brazil) | Binary |
| 26.375 | Who will win the 2025–2026 Premier League? | Multiple Choice |
| 25.625 | Which team will win the 2025/2026 UEFA Champions League? (Sporting Lisbon) | Binary |
| 25.004 | Which team will win the 2025/2026 UEFA Champions League? (Real Madrid) | Binary |
| 24.993 | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before April 1, 2026? (ALNY) | Binary |
| 24.798 | Which countries will Vladimir Putin visit before July 1, 2026? (South Africa) | Binary |
| 23.128 | What proportions of influenza A subtype sequences will CDC report during the 2025-2026 season? (H3N2) | Continuous |
| 23.034 | Will the H-1B visa lottery system be replaced with a nonrandom selection process for fiscal year 2027? | Binary |
| 22.830 | Which team will win the 2025/2026 UEFA Champions League? (Barcelona) | Binary |
| 22.825 | Which team will win the 2025/2026 UEFA Champions League? (Liverpool) | Binary |
| 22.794 | Which countries will Vladimir Putin visit before July 1, 2026? (United Arab Emirates) | Binary |
| 22.233 | Will the U.S. Supreme Court grant certiorari in Kim Davis v. David Ermold et al before January 15, 2026? | Binary |
| 19.336 | What proportions of influenza A subtype sequences will CDC report during the 2025-2026 season? (H5) | Continuous |
| 19.065 | How many Grammys will Bad Bunny win at the 2026 Grammys? | Multiple Choice |
| 18.130 | Will an attempt be made to fire Jerome Powell before the end of his term? | Binary |
| 17.579 | Which team will win the 2025/2026 UEFA Champions League? (Galatasaray) | Binary |
| 17.533 | Which team will win the 2025/2026 UEFA Champions League? (Newcastle United) | Binary |
| 17.526 | Which team will win the 2025/2026 UEFA Champions League? (Atalanta) | Binary |
| 17.424 | Will the U.S. Supreme Court grant certiorari in Monsanto Company v. John L. Durnell before January 15, 2026? | Binary |
| 17.168 | Which team will win the 2025/2026 UEFA Champions League? (Bodø/Glimt) | Binary |
| 17.162 | Which team will win the 2025/2026 UEFA Champions League? (Bayer Leverkusen) | Binary |
| 17.000 | Will Jerome Powell cease to be Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors before his term is up? | Binary |
| 16.303 | If Viktor Orbán leads a party in the 2026 Hungarian Election, will he become Prime Minister? | Binary |
| 16.165 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2025-2026 Premier League? (Manchester United) | Continuous |
| 16.105 | What will be the total median number of global under-5 child deaths reported in UNICEF's 2026 report for 2024? | Continuous |
| 16.050 | Which team will win the 2025/2026 UEFA Champions League? (Tottenham Hotspur) | Binary |
| 15.722 | Which team will win the 2025/2026 UEFA Champions League? (Manchester City) | Binary |
| 15.722 | Which team will win the 2025/2026 UEFA Champions League? (Chelsea) | Binary |
| 15.715 | Which team will win the 2025/2026 UEFA Champions League? (Arsenal) | Binary |
| 15.477 | Will any AI model achieve a score of 94% or higher on the GPQA Diamond Benchmark Leaderboard before February 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 15.157 | Will the ceasefire between the U.S. and Yemen’s Houthis mediated by Oman be broken before June 2026? | Binary |
| 14.604 | Which countries will Vladimir Putin visit before July 1, 2026? (Hungary) | Binary |
| 14.087 | Will over 2/3 of EU member states recognize Palestinian statehood before July 2026? | Binary |
| 10.974 | What will the seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate be in the United States in the following months? (Mar-26) | Continuous |
| 9.923 | Which team will win the 2025/2026 UEFA Champions League? (Club Brugge) | Binary |
| 9.697 | Which team will win the 2025/2026 UEFA Champions League? (Monaco) | Binary |
| 9.697 | Which team will win the 2025/2026 UEFA Champions League? (Borusia Dortmund) | Binary |
| 9.330 | Which team will win the 2025/2026 UEFA Champions League? (Qarabag) | Binary |
| 9.324 | Which team will win the 2025/2026 UEFA Champions League? (Olympiacos) | Binary |
| 9.324 | Which team will win the 2025/2026 UEFA Champions League? (Inter Milan) | Binary |
| 8.880 | Which team will win the 2025/2026 UEFA Champions League? (Juventus) | Binary |
| 8.880 | Which team will win the 2025/2026 UEFA Champions League? (Benfica) | Binary |
| 8.084 | What will the first reported revenues after December 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL) | Continuous |
| 7.085 | Before March 1, 2026, will Meta settle the lawsuit brought by state attorneys general alleging the platform(s) were designed to foster compulsive use by minors? | Binary |
| 5.279 | Will there be a successful coup in Africa or Latin America before February 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 5.026 | What will the implied federal funds rate for December 9, 2026 be on January 10, 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| 4.401 | What will be the flu vaccine coverage for the 2025-26 season among the following groups in the US? (Children 6 months to 17 years) | Continuous |
| 4.274 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2025-2026 Premier League? (Bournemouth) | Continuous |
| 4.015 | What will the first reported earnings per share after December 2025 be for the following companies? (AMD) | Continuous |
| 3.286 | When will the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people occur for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2025-2026 season? (RSV) | Continuous |
| 3.085 | What will be the seasonally adjusted S&P/Case-Shiller US National Home Price Index in the following months? (Dec-25) | Continuous |
| 2.697 | What will be the CDC's In-Season Flu Severity Assessment for 2025-2026? | Multiple Choice |
| 2.354 | What will be the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2025-2026 season? (Flu) | Continuous |
| 2.098 | What will be the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2025-2026 season? (RSV) | Continuous |
| 2.098 | What will be the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2025-2026 season? (COVID-19) | Continuous |
| 1.641 | When will the term of Israel's 25th Knesset end? | Continuous |
| 1.421 | What will be the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people for RSV for the following age groups in the 2025-2026 season? (0-4 years) | Continuous |
| 1.235 | What will be the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people for RSV for the following age groups in the 2025-2026 season? (≥65 years) | Continuous |
| 0.386 | What will be the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2025-2026 season? (Combined) | Continuous |
| 0.056 | What percentage of U.S. electricity will come from renewable sources (wind, solar, hydro) in 2025? | Continuous |
| -0.660 | Who will win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Multiple Choice |
| -1.348 | Which podcast will receive the first ever "Best Podcast" Award at the 2026 Golden Globes? | Multiple Choice |
| -1.456 | What will be Donald Trump's approval rating on January 14, 2026? | Continuous |
| -1.625 | When will the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people occur for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2025-2026 season? (COVID-19) | Continuous |
| -1.625 | When will the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people occur for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2025-2026 season? (Combined) | Continuous |
| -2.223 | What will be the COVID-19 booster coverage for the 2025-26 season among the following groups in the US? (Children 6 months to 17 years) | Continuous |
| -4.230 | When will the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people occur for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2025-2026 season? (Flu) | Continuous |
| -5.328 | Will George Conway, vocal critic of Donald Trump, announce a run for the US Congress before April 2, 2026? | Binary |
| -5.496 | How much will using AI add to (or subtract from) the time it takes developers to do a task, in METR's second impact study? | Continuous |
| -7.215 | Will at least 10 individuals affiliated with the U.S. president receive a presidential pardon or commutation in the following years? (2025-2026) | Binary |
| -8.152 | What proportion of tested influenza sequences will CDC report as influenza A during the 2025-26 season through the end of April 2026? | Continuous |
| -11.989 | Will the U.S. government seek to revoke a naturalized citizen's citizenship for post-naturalization conduct in the following years? (2025-2026) | Binary |
| -12.677 | Which countries will Vladimir Putin visit before July 1, 2026? (Turkey (Türkiye)) | Binary |
| -14.498 | Will Anthropic file an initial registration statement (S-1) with the SEC to launch an IPO, before July 1, 2026? | Binary |
| -14.538 | Will Dwayne "The Rock" Johnson be the highest-paid actor in 2025? | Binary |
| -15.467 | What proportions of influenza A subtype sequences will CDC report during the 2025-2026 season? (H1N1) | Continuous |
| -15.963 | Which countries will Vladimir Putin visit before July 1, 2026? (Jordan) | Binary |
| -17.252 | What will be the seasonally adjusted S&P/Case-Shiller US National Home Price Index in the following months? (Nov-25) | Continuous |
| -19.024 | If the U.S. Solicitor General files a CVSG brief in Monsanto v. Durnell, what will the recommendation be? | Multiple Choice |
| -20.080 | What will the first reported earnings per share after December 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL) | Continuous |
| -20.602 | Which countries will Vladimir Putin visit before July 1, 2026? (Mongolia) | Binary |
| -23.155 | Will a U.S. federal court hold any part of the executive branch in contempt for not obeying a federal court ruling in the following years? (2025-2026) | Binary |
| -26.070 | What will the first reported revenues after December 2025 be for the following companies? (AMD) | Continuous |
| -27.507 | Will senior DOJ leaders override normal procedures to open or accelerate a case against a high-profile presidential opponent or critic in the following years? (2025-2026) | Binary |
| -27.829 | Which countries will Vladimir Putin visit before July 1, 2026? (The United States (again)) | Binary |
| -31.031 | Will Israel pass the Penal Bill (Death Penalty for Terrorists amendment) into law before April 2026? | Binary |
| -33.317 | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before April 1, 2026? (VRT) | Binary |
| -33.675 | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before April 1, 2026? (CIEN) | Binary |
| -36.710 | Will the United States attack Venezuela in December 2025 or January 2026? | Binary |
| -40.166 | Will senior DOJ leaders override normal procedures to protect the President, his family, or his allies from a legal case in the following years? (2025-2026) | Binary |
| -41.295 | What will be the seasonally adjusted S&P/Case-Shiller US National Home Price Index in the following months? (Jan-26) | Continuous |
| -56.713 | Will there be a fatal clash between the military forces of the United States and Venezuela before March 1, 2026? | Binary |
| -67.659 | Which team will win the 2025/2026 UEFA Champions League? (Paris Saint-Germain) | Binary |
| -75.753 | What will be the seasonally adjusted S&P/Case-Shiller US National Home Price Index in the following months? (Feb-26) | Continuous |
| -84.119 | Will an active duty U.S. senior military leader join an election campaign or accept a civilian executive position in the following years? (2025-2026) | Binary |
| -97.435 | Will China request a WTO panel in its EV and battery-related trade dispute with India before January 11, 2026? | Binary |
| -123.535 | Will a U.S. cabinet agency award a $100m firm benefit after a $1m expenditure to a group or cryptocurrency linked to the president in the following years? (2025-2026) | Binary |
| -136.365 | Will the TrumpRx website be functional before February 1, 2026? | Binary |
| -197.930 | Will there be a successful coup in Africa or Latin America before March 1, 2026? | Binary |
| -199.082 | Will the US House of Representatives censure, expel or reprimand any of its members before April 1, 2026? | Binary |