32
815 forecasters
Will the winner of the 2026 FIFA World Cup be a country that has never won before?
0.2%chance
12.8% this week
Top Key Factors
Norway stuns Brazil with two late goals to knock out the 5-time World Cup champions | CNNcnn.com•Jul 5, 2026
Increases Likelihood
Competitive levels have risen worldwide
Increases Likelihood
Norway stuns Brazil with two late goals to knock out the 5-time World Cup champions | CNNcnn.com•Jul 5, 2026
Increases Likelihood
Competitive levels have risen worldwide
Increases Likelihood