42.286 | Will the Trump Adminstration succeed in creating a "Space Force" before the 2020 presidential election? | Binary |
36.521 | Will 2019 be the warmest year on record? | Binary |
35.263 | When will President Trump's current (Dec 2018) government shutdown end? | Continuous |
28.162 | Will Tesla deliver first $35,000 Model 3 in 2019? | Binary |
25.521 | Attempted crewed SpaceX flight prior to 2020? | Binary |
22.493 | Would a Democratically controlled House impeach President Trump before the 2020 elections? | Binary |
21.072 | Will Daenerys Targaryen die in season eight of Game of Thrones? | Binary |
14.926 | Will the DJIA hit 25,000 before it next touches 20,000? | Binary |
10.077 | Will Boris Johnson become Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before 30 March 2020? | Binary |
9.463 | Will Donald Trump have a 50% approval rating at some point before the end of 2019? | Binary |
8.370 | What will be the voter turnout in the European Parliament election 2019? | Continuous |
7.600 | Will Louis C.K. release a stand-up special before 2021? | Binary |
5.597 | Will the US-China trade war escalate after the initial truce period ending 24 February 2019? | Binary |
5.255 | Will there be another 'in-out' referendum on Brexit before 29th March 2019? | Binary |
4.810 | Will Mark Zuckerberg be CEO of Facebook, Inc. on March 1st 2019? | Binary |
3.919 | By the end of 2019 will a gene drive targeting malaria be initiated? | Binary |
3.638 | Will Facebook's share price be lower in 3 months than it is today? | Binary |
2.752 | Will the VIX Index print above 50 in 2019? | Binary |
2.045 | Will the General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR) bite a big company? | Binary |
1.904 | Will a "sex doll brothel" open in the US before August 1st 2019? | Binary |
1.615 | Will SpaceX's Starlink start deployment by 2021? | Binary |
1.569 | Will Tesla go private prior to 2020? | Binary |
1.499 | Will Australia elect Bill Shorten as Prime Minister in 2019? | Binary |
1.258 | How many seats will the various eurosceptic groups collectively achieve for the EU Parliament election, 2019? | Continuous |
0.605 | Will the current coalition (i.e. EPP, S&D, and ALDE) continue after the EU Parliament election, 2019? | Binary |
0.339 | Will Benoit Lecomte successfully swim across the Pacific Ocean? | Binary |
-0.054 | What will be the price of a Bitcoin in USD on December 1, 2019? | Continuous |
-0.267 | Will Queen Elizabeth II still be the reigning monarch of the United Kingdom in 2020? | Binary |
-0.582 | Will Tesla go bankrupt by 2020? | Binary |
-0.812 | Evidence for anomalies in neutrino oscillations to grow or fade away? | Continuous |
-1.092 | Will California abolish daylight savings time by 2020? | Binary |
-2.044 | Will Jordan Peterson endorse Maxime Bernier as Canada's next Prime Minister ahead of the 2019 Canadian federal election? | Binary |
-2.274 | Will AncestryDNA have 20 million people in their database before July 1st 2019? | Binary |
-2.349 | Will the U.S. enter a recession by July 1, 2019? | Binary |
-2.450 | Will there be another terrorist attack causing more than 25 deaths in the United States before 2020? | Binary |
-2.474 | Will a citizen of the People's Republic of China be declared a 2019 Nobel Prize winner? | Binary |
-2.812 | Will the 2019 Eurovision Song Contest be won by an EU member? | Binary |
-2.977 | What will the community average log-score be after the 500th question? | Continuous |
-3.352 | Will Jeremy Corbyn become Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before 2020? | Binary |
-3.683 | Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2019? | Binary |
-4.746 | Will a nuclear device with a yield above 1kt be detonated anywhere on Earth in 2019? | Binary |
-8.774 | Will 2019 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history? | Binary |
-15.261 | Will the EU Parliament election 2019 be free from any unlawful and significant election manipulation attempt? | Binary |
-22.169 | Will the UK leave the EU by the end of June 2020? | Binary |
-24.737 | Will North Korea launch an intercontinental ballistic missile in 2019? | Binary |